Last updated on July 17th, 2023 at 09:15 pm
Hillary Clinton is doing better in the polls than President Obama and George W. Bush at the same post-debate point in the polls.
Three days after the first presidential debate, Democrat Hillary Clinton is at +3 over Republican opponent Donald Trump in the Real Clear Politics national average of polls. Hillary Clinton leads in 8 of the past ten national poll. One poll is tied, and Trump only leads in an LA Times tracking poll.
Clinton’s blowout debate performance brought Democrats home, achieving her intended goal of motivating the Democratic base.
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According to the Real Clear Politics average, three days after the first debate in 2004, George W. Bush was at +2.7, in 2008 Barack Obama was at +4.6, and in 2012 President Barack Obama was at +1.4.
For those who are concerned about Hillary Clinton’s standing in the polls, the Democratic candidate is outperforming two of the last three presidential election victors. With only President Obama’s 2008 showing excepted, which was a uniquely lopsided election in an era of partisan divide outshining Clinton.
In the realm of possibilities, the potential remains greater for Donald Trump to get blown out than win the White House on Election Day. The most likely scenario is that 2016 closely mirrors the results of 2012 when President Obama won by 4 points.
Hillary Clinton may not blow Trump out, but she is on pace to make history in November.
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