The latest Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/Washington Post swing state poll was released today, and it finds Barack Obama surging ahead of John McCain in the critical swing states of Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. The big news is that Obama now leads McCain with men in each state, and Sarah Palin has completely fallen apart.
In Colorado, Obama has managed to keep his nine point lead, 52%-43%, which is the exact same margin as three weeks ago. Obama leads McCain with Independents, 51%-40%, and still dominates in the state with women, 54%-38%. Obama leads with white voters, 48%-47%, and he leads with men, 49%-47%. The Obama engine is being fueled by the economy, as 54% of Colorado voters said that this was there most important issue, and by a margin of 51%-39% voters said Obama understands the economy better than McCain.
In Michigan, Obama leads McCain 54%-38%. Obama leads across the board here too. With men he leads, 48%-44%, with women, 60%-32%, white voters, 48%-43%, and Independents, 52%-35%. Sixty four percent of those asked said that the economy was their most important issue, and by a margin of 52%-35% said Obama understood it better. The story is the same in Minnesota, where Obama has added three points to his lead, and is now up 51%-40%. Obama leads with women, 54%-37%, whites, 49%-43%, Independents, 51%-38%. McCain and Obama are tied among white men at 46%. The economy is the top issue to 58% of respondents, and they trust Obama over McCain to handle the economy, 49%-34%.
The most drastic jump for Obama has come in Wisconsin, where he has gained nine points, and now leads, 54%-37%. Obama leads with women 59%-33%, men, 49%-41%, whites, 52%-39%, and Independents, 52%-36%. The economy is the top issue to 55% of respondents, and Obama is favored over McCain on the issue, 53%-32%.
There are three elements carrying Obama in these polls. First, the economy is the critical issue in the minds of these voters, and McCain has shown no competency in this area at all. Second, McCain’s running mate Sarah Palin is in total free fall. Palin has negative approval rating in every state, and her approval rating ranges from 37%-39%. None of the people surveyed in these polls believe that she is qualified to be vice president. Only, 41%-44% of respondents believe that she is qualified to be VP. In contrast, Joe Biden’s unfavorable rating ranges from 22%-27%, and 76%-81% of those asked believe that he is qualified to be vice president.
Palin was added to the ticket to attract the white suburban soccer moms that voted for Bush in 2004, but her selection has backfired in a big way. Women don’t think that she is qualified for the job. By a margin of 52%-42% women voter said that she isn’t qualified. In Michigan, by a margin of 50%-34% women said that she isn’t qualified. In Minnesota and Wisconsin, the margin was 49%-40%. My theory is that Sarah Palin sunk McCain’s chances, especially in Michigan, because she is completely unable to discuss the economy.
While those asked stressed that the debates didn’t change their support, what the debates did seem to do is make voters more comfortable with Obama. This is a Democratic year, and I think many voters wanted to support a Democrat, but they had some concerns about whether or not Obama could handle the job. I believe that the biggest thing the debates have done for Obama is that they have eased worries about him, because he has looked more presidential than McCain. In each poll that is released, Obama is shoring up his lead, and if this trend continues for another week or two, McCain will need a miracle to win this election.
I, too am a Gulf War veteran – Gulf War 1, OEF and OIF. I’m still voting for McCain/Palin. There is a reason it is called the “White House” and I don’t want any n****r living in it!
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ROFLMAO no, I mean really ROFLMAO
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All of you who lower yourselves by using derogatory sexist words to describe Palin need to calm down and use the words any educated person would use to describe any incompetent, ignorant politician…. like uneducated, prejudiced, narrow-minded religious zealot, arrogant, simple-minded, self-righteous, narcisistic, shallow, egocentric, out of her realm, dangerous, cynical, condescending, lame-brained, wooden figurehead like W…..I can’t say enough about Palin, can I?
There is no need to resort to misogynistic terms to make your point about any such ridiculous politician, whether male or female.
Speak the truth, but speak it fairly, on a level field.
I don’t see anyone using terms like dumb dick or numb nuts or bastard to describe McCain… so why the sexist terms used to describe Palin? Be fair… call McCain a shit-for-brains bubba, a macho jerk, a jockey brain, an adulter(remember he cheated on his wife with cute little Cindy 18 years his junior), an addled old fart, a shriveled geezer, a brown-noser, a faded war hero living all his life off his happenstance POW legacy, a self-delusional macho man …..
I am a 60-year-old woman who has waited all her life to see a competent woman run for our highest offices, but who is disgusted to think of the possibility of ignorant Sarah Palin rising any higher than the office of governor that she now holds. She is obviously a prime example of the Peter Principle. She has already overreached the level at which she is competent. God help us if she or McCain rise any further.
Denigrate those who deserve denigration all you want….All I request is respect for women, no matter the issue. After all, we are your mothers, grandmothers, aunts, sisters, wives and daughters. Please don’t diminish us with sexist rantings. Rant fairly.
Obama/Biden all the way!
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Nobody cares about Acorn. Why? Obama is not connected with Acorn. A single Senator could not approve this kind of money on his own. According to a Frontline Special last night… McCain seemed closer to Acorn than Obama as McCain appeared the same stage praising their efforts before Obama ever arrived in Washington. Huh?!?! Nice Try Johnny…
Get real… I don’t care how many times you register to vote… How many times are you gonna show up to vote? Really? How many times are you actually gonna show up at an election center when you have to show a picture ID to vote? Does your Picture ID say Mickey Mouse? Does your face match?
Don’t be stupid. These Acorn people get paid by the number of the forms they turn in. If you are an Acorn guy walking the streets in a tough, nasty city… are you gonna go to these inner city houses in gang infested or illegal neighborhoods? Or are you gonna make up some names, knowing these phony names ain’t gonna show, but get paid? Hmmm? Let me think… Submit some phony names or risk getting robbed, stabbed or shot? Let me think… How much to get paid for submitting some phony names? How much for a stab or gunshot wound and I don’t have insurance? Hmmm??? Which to choose??? None of those phony names ain’t gonna show, because they made them up… OR… 3 years to recover from a stab or gunshot? Hmm? These are the same folks who show up at your door to sell cleaning products or magazines in a non-election year. Many of them are students… many unemployed just making their way…
DON’T BE STUPID AMERICA!!! YOU KNOW & AMERICA KNOWS THIS IS THE SAME OLD SCAM TO DISTRACT AMERICA WHILE WE WORK THE SAME OLD VOTER RANK & FILE REDUCTIONS THAT WE DID IN FLORIDA AND OHIO!
WAIT?!? Let me guess… You think those were honest elections? If you do… I have a balloon farm on Mars for sale… Just leave your phone number in your reply…
LOOK! THE BEST THING AMERICA CAN DO FOR THIS VERY IMPORTANT, HISTORIC ELECTION IS TO STOP!!! DON’T RIG THE DIEBOLD ELECTRONIC MACHINES THIS YEAR… PLEASE… THE WORLD IS WATCHING… DON’T ALTER THE ELECTION OR ELECTRONIC MACHINES OR THE SOFTWARE OR THE VOTER ROLES IN ANY WAY PLEASE… DO IT FOR AMERICA AND THE WORLD WHO IS WATCHING HOPING THAT AMERICA CAN ONCE AGAIN RETURN TO THE BEACON OF HOPE FOR THE WORLD… HELP AMERICA RESTORE THE CREDIBILITY LOST OVER THE LAST 8 YEARS UNDER THE BUSH / CHENNEY ADMINISTRATION…
PLEASE HELP AMERICA REMOVE THE YELLOW CRIME SCENE TAPE THAT HAS SURROUNDED THE WHITE HOUSE AND CONGRESS SINCE THE IRAQ WAR… DO IT FOR THE 4500+ AMERICANS WHO HAVE LOST THEIR LIVES SERVICES AMERICA’S BATTLES IN THE MIDDLE EAST… PROPER OR IMPROPER… GUIDED OR MISGUIDED… DO IT FOR YOUR KIDS AND GRANDKIDS WHO DESERVE TO BELEIVE IN AMERICA IN THE SAME MANNER YOU DID AS A KID…
PLEASE AMERICA… GET REAL… Want to see what happens when we look the other way? Just Look At The Last 8 Years… 4,500 Dead Americans, 35,000+ permanently wounded and the new homeless generation who will live under the bridges and on the streets of America. Yes, they will replace the homeless of the 1st Gulf War & Vietnam… An economy collapsed by greed America… not just the media hype of those who bought homes they couldn’t afford… If so, we should be bailing out the Housing Market… Instead… we are bailing out the Banking and Credit Markets that are tied to the International Banking, Treasury & Bond markets… Didn’t know China holds a lot of those toxic Bonds did you? Think they were gonna hold them forever, once they determined they were worthless? Well add the fact that this misguided war in Iraq is also being funded by Communist China to the tune of some $10 Billion a Month… with a devalued dollar… Don’t be stupid…
Didn’t think about the 25% of the World Oil America uses either… did you? We can “drill baby drill” as Palin & McCain say, but it will only account for 3% while we buy Oil from Saudi Arabia for American Streets, Industry and a HUGE AMERICAN MILITARY IN AFGANHISTAN AND IRAQ! Look!!! Russia invaded Afganhistan a few years ago, and America bankrupted their economy with the help of a guy named Bin Ladden and a few of his friends called the Taliban… You may have heard of them…
WELL GUESS WHAT???! SOME THINK RUSSIA HAS RETURNED THE FAVOR AMERICA… Consider our economy slammed… Or as the street people say… AMERICA… YOU’VE BEEN SERVED… by Bin Ladden and the Taliban funded probably by Russia, China and Saudi Arabia, who don’t want to see America leave until it has transferred most of its significant wealth to other nations in the LARGEST TRANSFER OF WEALTH FROM AMERICA THE WORLD HAS EVER SEEN!!!
AND Let’s not even think about our open borders to the south… Yes, you wealth is being transferred faster than you can calculate while they give us cheap labor, drugs, guns, violence, gangs, a drain on America’s Health System, Social Services, Education System, Identity Theft, I-10 Loans, I-10 Mortgages that contribute to this Banking Crisis… And you can’t even calculate the damage this administration has done to a Great Nation over the past 8 years…
America is repeating Roman History when it said… A Nation that cannot control its Borders… Is No Longer a Nation…
No Wonder Daddy Bush Cried on National Television… A Parent knows what an off spring can unleash on an unsuspecting Nation… A Baby… Daddy Bush Knew and Knows what he may have unleashed on America & the World… HEAVEN HELP US ALL… REPUBLICANS, DEMOCRATS, CONSERVATIVES, LIBERALS… 750 THOUSANDS JOBS GONE FOREVER… THIS YEAR ALONE… MANY, MANY MORE TO FOLLOW…
Momma McCain got it right when she said… “America will just have to hold its nose and pick my son”. Thank
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I love the term Wonkette came up with to describe her – GILF.
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that you made it out of the Gulf alive. Scum.
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I wish to share my views on Sarah Palin with you, she and I have a lot of things in common.
My education matches hers it took years for me to earn my degree taking a few courses at a time here and there, so I guess I have that in common with her.
I was president of my PTA and an officer in my woman’s club we have that in common.
I was a soccer, baseball, and basketball mom, so we have that in common.
I own a small business where I make out budgets, so you could call me an executive that is another thing we have in common.
I am married to a Joe six-pack, but he says he is a Joe 12 pack, I wish we did not have that in common!
I have three children and five grand children, she’s catching up to me.
I am a catholic and have never had an abortion. I used birth control when I was too old to safely have a healthy child.
I will be voting for Obama. Why?
Because I would never presume that I have the intellect and education to be 1/2 a breath away from being the leader of the most powerful nation in the world. It takes more then charm and snappy remarks to have a finger on the nuclear button. That is something that speechwriters and pundits can’t teach a candidate in a few weeks. Sorry I want intelligence running this nation.
So this white, Catholic 61 year old, Republican grandmother will be voting for Barack Obama.
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Mediocrity always attacks excellence. GO OBAMA!!!!
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i think I will take my chances on a novice candidate that is cool calm and collective, and give a better details on important issues. McCain is highly experience but he want to the issue and economy to attack is opponet for the rest of his campaign. But the best they could come with is wrongful calling Obama a terrorist. Whoa so American, shame on the republican party.
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I don’t understand the whole thing about Obama is inexperience and McCain is not. I mean, are you all watching the news or just want following blindly
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Greast work!
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If, as you suggest in this post, the Democratic party’s paramount interest should be in every vote getting counted, Sen. Clinton is the choice. Why? She’s won nearly all of the primaries–the only place where every voter has reasonable access and an opportunity to actually cast a vote under conditions that Americans have spilled blood for for over two centuries, the secret ballot. A bunch of upscale elitists speaking out loud about their preference at a caucus is not voting. And its not democratic. In addition, if the will of over 2 million Floridians amd Michganders who actually voted–yep, secret ballot and all–is taken into account, its not even close.
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You retards never did realize that Obama ran against McCain!!!! Palin is better than you tools could ever be!!!
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I think Obama should be thanking Palin for his victory, because it looks like she did just about everything possible for a human being to help him win!
George J Foreman
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Palin hasn’t the intelligence to carry on a open town hall meeting she hasn’t a clue. If our country thinks it can be swayed by Tweets from Twitter and Facebook blogs from this woman we as a society have failed miserably. Palin is just looking for some recognition, something to say I GOTCHA at President Obama and then she thinks she’ll be president. America isn’t afraid of Palin we fear that society has lowered it standards of leadership to sex appeal and folksy gibberish, visual appeasement, internet addiction and senior men with low testosterone.
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I think Obama has the ability to take US out of the Global financial crises. And I hope he will be successfull in getting this thing done. Oakland Architecture
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I think Obama has the ability to take US out of the Global financial crises. And I hope he will be successfull in getting this thing done. Oakland Architecture
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But.. I don’t think she’s stupid, maybe a bit “touched” psychologically. Ever see her eyes in close-ups? She has crazy eyes, kinda like Jennifer Wilbanks, the runaway bride. Honestly, I think that she’s delusional and somewhere along the line she’s had a psychotic break. But thats just my opinion.
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By your reasoning then, to what drug would you attribute Senator Obama’s keen comprehension of the central issues in this election, clear, unequivocal responses, ready policies and proposals, depth on a number of handbags issues, and perceptive management of his campaign for President? Ahh…that wonder drug Presidentialis. What condition accounts for the rambling, bumbling, slow on the draw reactions and poor judgment of the opponent, Senator McCain – a horrible case of alsorhanitis?
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Because swinging leftwards will keep us safe? How? Our enemies hated our guts BEFORE 9/11! Winston Churchill once said that nations do not have friends, nations have interests. America, being the sole superpower, has more interests than most.The world will hate us regardless. The only reason third-world nations love Obama is because they feel he hates America as much as they do.
As far as swinging leftwards on the economy, America has spent TRILLIONS on social issues, more than any other nation on earth. It takes $ to make handbags $ and by taxing the rich, Obama is simply making these rich folks hold on to their money, and maybe forcing them to ship this money overseas. REMEMBER, AMERICA, the richest 1% of American pay 50% of US taxes!!! the richest 10% of American pay out 95% of the taxes. What do you think will happen if we hit them with even HIGHER taxes! What would YOU do?? Let’s not lose our common-sense!
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so how many people have changed their mind on Obama since?
It’s not lookin so good.
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I am a McCain supporter and I’m proud of that fact. If Senator Obama is elected, I wish him well. I just hope Oprah shares it with me! In fact, you can share the wealth of Hollywood with the entire state of Louisiana. Indeed, the most corrupt governor is Governor Palin. Is Gov. Edwin Edwards (D) of Louisiana. If I could fire my former brother-in-law would do in a minute. Maybe he is a loser! Conservatives out there, if McCain loses … remember President Obama share the wealth with us, including his own …
This is the worst blog for spelling mistakes! Get your dictionary out! If you do not have a “President Obama” promises to buy one for you, and you and you and you and you!
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