Widgetized Section
Go to Admin » Appearance » Widgets » and move Gabfire Widget: Social into that MastheadOverlay zone
Obama Swing State Voter Registration and Early Voting Margins Are Bigger Than 2008
The Obama campaign announced today that their voter registration and early voting margins in Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina, and Florida are bigger than they were in 2008.
Obama leads Iowa early voting in vote by mail ballots cast, in person early voting, total voting and total ballots requested, and they lead by a bigger margin than they did in 2008 in ballots requested and ballots cast. In Ohio, the president leads in ballots requested and ballots cast, and is ahead of the lead he had over John McCain at the same point in 2008.
In Florida, Obama has improved his margin in absentee ballots by 175,000 over this point in 2008. In Nevada, Republicans led Democrats by 8,000 absentee ballot requests in the last election. In 2012, Democrats are leading Republicans. In North Carolina, Obama has shaved 5,000 off of the Republican lead in absentee ballot requests. According to Obama For America, “At this point in 2008, Republicans had an absentee ballot request advantage of 259,000 ballot requests in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina and Nevada. In 2012, Democrats have cut that margin by 75 percent to just 64,000.”
According to the chart below, Democrats have a more than 2.4 million voter registration advantage in swing states:
Democrats have also out registered Republicans in swing states over the past three months (via state Boards of Elections):
Lastly, there has been a double digit surge in Democratic Latino voter registration in North Carolina, Florida, and Nevada (via state Boards of Elections in FL and NC, and DNC voter file:
The Obama reelection strategy has always been based on using their superior ground game in targeted swing states to get the president over the finish line. What the national polls don’t account for it that Obama is running a different campaign than Romney. The president has zeroed in on a handful of swing states that he needs to win in order to get to 270 electoral votes, and so far the strategy is working. Even after the first debate, the president continues to lead in Ohio, Colorado, Nevada, Virginia, Iowa, and is leading or tied in Florida. The only state where the polling consensus shows Obama trailing is North Carolina.
The fact that the Obama campaign is so heavily targeting swing states is why his supporters should not be overly worried about national polls. National polls may suggest the general direction of the political winds, but the swing states are where the real contested campaign is occurring in 2012.
While the Romney campaign and their supporting super PACs have concentrated their money on television ads, for about a year the Obama campaign has been spending their dollars on their ground game. The Obama camp understands that if they can pile up a huge advantage in early voting in places like Ohio, Iowa, and Florida, this election may be over before voters go to the polls on Election Day.
It is easy to see why Republicans fought so hard for voter ID and to limit early voting. Obama has a huge advantage in each of these areas. Things may actually be worse for Republicans in 2012 as the president’s campaign has also decreased the Republican advantage in swing state absentee voting.
Tonight’s vice presidential debate will help shape perception, but what is happening on the ground in swing states definitely favors Obama.
Related Posts :
Obama campaign manager David Plouffe released a memo today that pointed out that the early voting statistics ...
The early voting math is creating a problem for Mitt Romney. Obama is piling up such large margins that ...
The early voting numbers in North Carolina are trickling in, and they don't look good for Romney. Democr ...
In a conference call with reporters Obama campaign manager Jim Messina dropped some devastating numbers ...
On MSNBC this morning, Nevada political reporter Jon Ralston said that President Obama and Democrats are ...
5 Responses to Obama Swing State Voter Registration and Early Voting Margins Are Bigger Than 2008
Public Service Advertisements
Edward Shafer
Oct. 11th, 2012 at 1:58 pm
Let us hope that this advantage is also working to take back the House of Reps and to increase our numbers in the Senate. President Obama needs a Congress that will work with him to move this country forward.
TigerLily
Oct. 11th, 2012 at 2:39 pm
There is no way in hell I would be voting for THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY if they were trying to do what the GOP party tried to do ..which was take the power of your vote away! WTH? That is beyond UN-AMERICAN. ANY AMERICAN VOTING REPUBLICAN YOU NEED TO ASK YOURSELF why you would vote for such a party that would take your vote away. How would you like it if the DEMS DID THAT TO YOU? HOW WOULD YOU FEEL? Ask yourself LADIES what the heck are the GOP going to do to protect your INDIVIDUAL CHOICE AS A WOMAN? WTH do you plan to do without any protective services for you???? Ask yourself MEN AND WOMEN WHO HAVE CHILDREN..why would you vote GOP when they plan to CUT EDUCATION. SS, MEDICARE, MEDICAID..EPA your children will breathe the poisons..FDA..you and your kids will eat food not checked..food poisening for days! tell me how you DON’T MIND LIVING IN A POLICE STATE WITH EVERYTHING PRIVATEly owned AND YOU HAVE TO PAY FOR IT! EVEN POLICE PROTECTION!..CAN YOU AFFORD IT? I thought not. THINK REAL HARD BEFORE YOU VOTE. This man Romney is the biggest con artist money hungry lying piece of dung I have ever seen in my life. And if you vote for him..my gawd what does that say about you as a human being. NOT INFORMED..NOT EDUCATED..OR JUST DON’T CARE AND JUST WANT THE NEW WHITE GUY IN NO MATTER WHAT HE DOES TO YOU. JUST LIEK BUSH.
Elizabeth
Oct. 11th, 2012 at 8:53 pm
I don’t understand how you are thinking the Democratic party is limiting the vote. The way I see it, and correct me if I’m wrong, the Democrats have out-registered voters, thats all. They are getting the voters out early and encouraging absentee ballots. Basically, it appears they are just working big time to register voters and get them out to vote. I take issue with the comment that the election may be won before election day. That is ridiculous and dangerous! Are they actually counting votes now, or are they just counting how many Republicans and Democrats are voting. Then they are making assumptions about how the voters voted. Claiming victory before election day could cause a lot of people to not vote, or change their vote. It certainly would hurt the rest of the ballots.
Elizabeth
Oct. 11th, 2012 at 8:55 pm
I’m sorry I misread the first part of your statement and replied thinking you thought the Democrats were suppressing the vote. Mea culpa
Kimbutgar
Oct. 11th, 2012 at 3:30 pm
Go get them Tiger!!! Rmoney is bush 2.0 on steroids. He will privatize and sell off everything to his corporate buddies. Say goodbye to our national parks, because if there oil or gas it will be drilled on. Like Yosemite or Yellowstone they can’t wait to sell it to the Chinese! A Bush 2.0 on steroids will be the end of the US as we know it. Our constitution really will be tossed aside. I wouldn’t be shocked if Rmoney declared himself and the GOP the monarchy of this country and everyone will be the peasants. We live in scary times and we must vote as many repugs out of office and get our government working again for the people.