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Poll Finds PA Supports Obama: Will Republicans Rig The State So He Can’t Win?
A new Magellan Strategies poll of Pennsylvania finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney, 50%-40%, and Rick Perry, 51%-37%, but the state’s Republicans are trying to rig the election so that Obama can’t win.
While the poll finds that PA voters are split on Obama approval wise, 48%-49%, Obama has managed to keep his approval high with the coalition of voters that won him the state in 2008.
President Obama’s approval with women is 53%-42%. His approval rating with young voters age 18-34 is 56%-40%. His favorability rating with Democrats is 75%-21%, and he has a very high favorability rating with moderates in the state, 59%-37%. The president continues to struggle with the same voters that he could not sway in 2008. Obama’s favorable/unfavorable l with men is 41%-56%, and like in the state’s 2008 Democratic primary he is struggling with white voters, 43%-53%.
Pennsylvania is split on Obama’s job approval rating 44%-47%. (This is within the poll’s 3.7% margin of error). Keystone State residents are also split on whether or not Obama deserves reelection, 46%-48%, but when he is matched up against the top two GOP contenders Obama comfortably leads them both. Obama leads Mitt Romney, 50%-40%, and Rick Perry, 51%-37%. Much of this margin is due to the fact that Pennsylvanians really don’t like Romney or Perry. Mitt Romney has a 30% favorable and 44% disapproval rating in the state. Rick Perry has a 25% favorable and a 44% unfavorable rating.
PA men support Romney over Obama 47%-43%, but women support the president 55%-34%. Independents support Romney 55%-42%, but Democrats support Obama 80%-11%, and young voters support Obama 58%-30%. Moderates support Obama over Romney 62%-28%, and Obama and Romney are tied with white voters, 44%-44%.
Rick Perry does not lead Obama with a single group of voters in the state. Male voters support Obama over Perry, 46%-43%. Female voters support Obama over Perry 56%-31%. Independents support Obama over Perry, 40%-39%, and white voters support Obama over Perry, 47%-40%.
Obama’s overwhelming advantage is why state Republicans are proposing legislation to rig the state by awarding Electoral College votes by congressional district instead of winner take all. This change would likely net the Republican nominee 12 of the state’s Electoral College votes instead of the zero they are likely to win in 2012. The scheme would be a disaster for Pennsylvania’s status as an important election state, and would serve to effectively disenfranchise the state’s large Democratic majority.
Obama could win the popular vote by millions in PA, yet still lose the state. If Pennsylvania Republicans adopt this plan look for other Republican controlled states that Obama does well in like Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin to follow suit. Under the GOP scheme the will of the people could be ignored, and Obama denied a second term. As 2000 demonstrated, Republicans have no qualms about defying the will of the people in order to install their president.
Pennsylvania may want Obama, but under the GOP plan they won’t get the chance to reelect him.
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7 Responses to Poll Finds PA Supports Obama: Will Republicans Rig The State So He Can’t Win?
Ardiva
Sep. 19th, 2011 at 4:20 pm
If Obama looses his second term, we’ll will know why and there will be hell to pay.
Ardiva
Sep. 19th, 2011 at 4:22 pm
sorry..meant to type “we’ll know why”.
godfree
Sep. 20th, 2011 at 12:06 am
You’re on the right track. Now learn how to spell loses.
Arelius705
Sep. 19th, 2011 at 7:45 pm
Information is power! All of our resources should be channeled into educating the public.
Kim
Sep. 20th, 2011 at 12:36 am
We’ll be on the ground fighting! Everyone should be out registering voters and driving people to get their ids updated. Don’t sit on the sidelines. Be the change!
oldgulph
Sep. 20th, 2011 at 1:20 pm
A survey of 800 Pennsylvania voters conducted on December 16-17, 2008 showed 78% overall support for a national popular vote for President.
Support was 87% among Democrats, 68% among Republicans, and 76% among independents.
By age, support was 77% among 18-29 year olds, 73% among 30-45 year olds, 81% among 46-65 year olds, and 78% for those older than 65.By gender, support was 85% among women and 71% among men.
The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).
Under National Popular Vote, every vote, everywhere, would be politically relevant and equal in every presidential election. Every vote would be included in the national count. The candidate with the most popular votes in all 50 states would get the 270+ electoral votes from the enacting states. That majority of electoral votes guarantees the candidate with the most popular votes in all 50 states wins the presidency.
National Popular Vote would give a voice to the minority party voters in each state and district (in ME and NE). Now their votes are counted only for the candidate they did not vote for. Now they don’t matter to their candidate.
With National Popular Vote, elections wouldn’t be about winning states or districts (in ME and NE). No more distorting and divisive red and blue state and district maps. Every vote, everywhere would be counted for and directly assist the candidate for whom it was cast.
In Gallup polls since 1944, only about 20% of the public has supported the current system of awarding all of a state’s electoral votes to the presidential candidate who receives the most votes in each separate state (with about 70% opposed and about 10% undecided). The recent Washington Post, Kaiser Family Foundation, and Harvard University poll shows 72% support for direct nationwide election of the President. Support is strong in virtually every state, partisan, and demographic group surveyed iin recent polls in closely divided battleground states: CO– 68%, IA –75%, MI– 73%, MO– 70%, NH– 69%, NV– 72%, NM– 76%, NC– 74%, OH– 70%, PA — 78%, VA — 74%, and WI — 71%; in smaller states (3 to 5 electoral votes): AK – 70%, DC – 76%, DE –75%, ME — 77%, NE — 74%, NH –69%, NV — 72%, NM — 76%, RI — 74%, and VT — 75%; in Southern and border states: AR –80%, KY — 80%, MS –77%, MO — 70%, NC — 74%, and VA — 74%; and in other states polled: CA — 70%, CT — 74% , MA — 73%, MN – 75%, NY — 79%, WA — 77%, and WV- 81%.
Come the end of voting on Election Day, most voters don’t care whether their presidential candidate wins or loses in their state . . . they care whether he/she wins the White House. Voters want to know, that even if they were on the losing side, their vote actually was directly and equally counted and mattered to their candidate. Most Americans consider the idea of the candidate with the most popular votes being declared a loser detestable. We don’t allow this in any other election in our representative republic.
The bill has passed 31 state legislative chambers, in 21 small, medium-small, medium, and large states, including one house in AR, CT, DE, DC, ME, MI, NV, NM, NY, NC, and OR, and both houses in CA, CO, HI, IL, NJ, MD, MA, RI, VT, and WA. The bill has been enacted by DC (3), HI (4), IL (19), NJ (14), MD (11), MA (10), CA (55), VT (3), and WA (13). These 9 jurisdictions possess 132 electoral votes — 49% of the 270 necessary to bring the law into effect.
NationalPopularVote.com
Shiva (Moderator)
Sep. 20th, 2011 at 1:47 pm
I pretty much agree with this, it would end gerrymandering as it exists today and is practiced by both parties when able to.