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With Turnout up 20%, Democrats Lead Republicans 50%-31% in North Carolina Early Voting
The early voting numbers in North Carolina are trickling in, and they don’t look good for Romney. Democrats lead Republicans 50%-31% in early voting, turnout is up 20% overall, and young voter turnout is up 24%.
The Obama campaign’s attempt to win North Carolina for a second time is built on getting voters who are don’t vote in every election registered and voting early. Since July, Democrats have almost doubled Republicans in new voter registrations, 120,000-68,000. Since 2008, the number of African Americans who have registered to vote in the state has increased by 168,000. So far these efforts are paying off in early voting, as Democrats who didn’t vote in 2010 are outvoting Republicans by a 2 to 1 margin.
African-American voters make up 22% of North Carolina’s electorate, and their early voting turnout is up 23% over 2008. African Americans have already cast 72,000 more ballots in North Carolina than at the same time in 2008. Turnout among young voters is also up 24%, and it is a pretty safe bet that the vast majority of these young and African-American voters aren’t showing up to support Romney.
Overall, 50% of the early votes that have been cast have been by Democrats. Thirty one percent have come from Republicans. Early voting turnout is up 20% over the same point in 2008, and 1.3 million votes cast (an increase of 277,000 over this point in 2008.)
Unlike Ohio where both the polls and the early voting numbers both favor Obama, the polls in North Carolina show a tie or small Romney lead. The Republicans wanted to have North Carolina wrapped up by now, and they don’t. Romney has been unable to close the deal in the state, and if President Obama can pile up a huge early voting edge, Romney may have to fight for a state that his campaign wants everyone to believe is in the bag.
Obama only won North Carolina by 14,000 votes in 2008, and it would surprise no one if Romney won it in 2012. One thing that is becoming clear is that whoever wins the state will not have a large margin of victory. It would not be surprising if the Tar Heel State was decided by a similarly small margin to that of 2008.
Don’t believe the bluster coming from the Romney campaign about North Carolina. It is far from a done deal. In fact, either candidate could still win the state.
While Republicans have stepped up their early voting game, it wouldn’t be shocking if the vastly superior Obama ground game kept the state blue in 2012.
The Romney campaign is trying to depress Democratic early voting turnout by claiming the state is a done deal for him. If you haven’t voted yet, go vote.
Because just like in 2008, your vote could be the margin of victory in North Carolina.
Image: WRAL
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8 Responses to With Turnout up 20%, Democrats Lead Republicans 50%-31% in North Carolina Early Voting
Mike
Oct. 28th, 2012 at 10:01 pm
Please help keep North Carolina blue. All you UNC fans just pretend the blue is closer to Carolina blue than Duke blue
rewinn
Oct. 28th, 2012 at 11:05 pm
If 100% of voters actually went to the polls and VOTED, then all America would win!
One candidate would get more votes than the other, but there would be no loser.
Reynardine
Oct. 29th, 2012 at 12:20 am
I reiterate: Take your camera phone or a small digital camera with you. Photograph your ballot before you submit it. Also, if you see anything suspicious in line or inside the polling place, photograph it. A camera phone will enter date and time automatically. If you are using a digital camera, make sure it is set to do it.
Southern Sam
Oct. 29th, 2012 at 11:38 pm
What you Demoncraps fail to realize is that ***** only won 2008 by 13000 votes and this year Republicans have closed the early vote gap compared to 2008 at this point in time by 59000 votes. The **** has not been to NC since the convention, even he realizes the gig is up.
Shiva (Moderator)
Oct. 29th, 2012 at 11:48 pm
Obama 69,456,89 votes
McCain 59,934,814
Thats slightly less than 10 million
But we honor your right to vote for someone who has walked back on every single thing he has said for 2 years
Gary Vaughn
Oct. 30th, 2012 at 2:21 am
I see rapeomney losing and I want to cry. Crying is not manly I know, but the tears of joy just flow everytime that asshat lies.
Tom Buckner
Oct. 30th, 2012 at 10:27 pm
Every computer voting company is owned by friends of the GOP. They can steal elections in states that are closer than about 5% and B.S. everybody that it was an “upset.” This is what they did in 2004 in Ohio. Remember, Bush got fewer votes than Gore in 2000 and was actually LOSING support by 2004, over the Iraq war and the tax cuts blowing up the deficit. Dem voters came out in droves looking for revenge. They waited hours in the Ohio rain.
So how did he get re-elected? It was mathematically impossible! He stole Ohio. And it was taboo to say so. Still is.
So I want to say this: I don’t want to believe Mitt Romney will steal this election.
But I do believe it. 2008 was just too much of a blowout to steal. Nobody would have believed it. This time, for some insane reason, it’s actually close. Kerry was polling better at this point in 2004 than Obama is now, if I’m not mistaken.
The Republicans effectively own all the computerized voting machines, which the Obama administration spent three years and nine months DOING NOTHING ABOUT.
They WILL steal the election.
God, I hope I’m wrong.
But they WILL.
And here is my question to you who read this.
WHEN it happens, what will YOU do?
gray swindell
Nov. 1st, 2012 at 12:15 pm
You are waayy off , the push here is repblican , we have a democratic govener under federal investigation , poor edcuation and Mccrory is going to win by storm . NC is done for Romney move on the next state you dont live here