Independents Embrace Obama As They Flee Romney And The GOP

According to the new Pew Research poll, Independents are fleeing Mitt Romney and embracing
President Obama at a brisk clip. Obama’s support with Independents now tops 50%.

The new Pew Research poll found that Mitt Romney is in the midst of an epic slide with Independent voters. In November, Romney led Obama, 53%-42% with Independents. The margin stayed just about the same in mid-January as Romney led the president, 50%-40% with Independents, but something has happened over the past month as Independents now support Obama, 52%-44%.

President Obama has gained eleven points with Independents over the last month, while Mitt Romney has lost eight points. Going back to November, Obama has gained ten points with Independents while Romney has dropped eleven. The overall match up between Obama and Romney has swung six points since November from Obama leading 49%-47% to Obama leading 52%-44%.

The problem for Mitt Romney is that trust in him has collapsed with Independents. The number of Independents who believed Romney to be honest and trustworthy has dropped from 52%-41%, while the those who don’t believe that he is honest and trustworthy has risen thirteen points from 32%-45%. The number of Independents who believe that he is qualified to be president has dropped from 58%-48%. Fifty three percent of Independents now hold the belief that Romney does not take consistent positions, and a whopping 60% don’t believe that he understands the needs of people like them.

The attacks by his primary opponents are definitely damaging Mitt Romney, but his move to the right in order to win the Republican nomination and his constant demonstrations that can’t relate to average Americans are likely doing more damage to his image than the nomination fight. More bad news for Mitt Romney comes in the fact that a majority of Republicans (55%-36%) continue the continuing primary process a good thing for the Republican Party.

The Republican strategy to get Mitt Romney elected was centered on hiding his weaknesses by avoiding a long primary fight. The Republican Party was hoping that they could fool Independent voters into supporting Mitt Romney in the fall. Romney’s whole electability argument was based on his performance with Independents. Now that any advantage that he once had with Independents is gone, so is the case for his electability.

Everything President Obama has done in the months since his announcement of the American Jobs Act through the recent decision on contraception has been done with an eye towards moderates and Independents. As the Republican primary has forced the Republican candidates to move more to the right, President Obama has been able to stake his claim to the middle. Along with an improving economy, this is the reason why Independents are coming back to Obama.

Romney is also feeling the consequences of his negative advertising campaign. A 2010 Zogby poll found that Democrats and Independents are the most likely to be turned off by negative political advertising. Thirty seven percent of Democrats and thirty five percent of Independents said that negative political advertising turns them off.

When given the choice between Mitt Romney’s negative ads, dodges of questions about his taxes and finances, and ever shifting positions, or a growing economy and Obama’s positive message that America is coming back, Independents are currently choosing the president’s message.

The math for Republicans is simple. They can’t defeat Obama without winning Independents, and the Republican Party and Mitt Romney are doing everything in their power to send Independents fleeing back into the waiting arms of President Obama.

17 Replies to “Independents Embrace Obama As They Flee Romney And The GOP”

  1. No one can say any longer that they don’t know what Willard stands for. He is the personification of raw ambition without any moral core and of the worst among the 1%. He is also a liar who has to sling mud in order to win caucuses or primaries. No matter what his positions on issues are from one day to the next, these things are an integral part of his character.

  2. in the words of one of the greatest movies ever made, Porkys, I think the word you’re looking for is moral turpitude

  3. It’s a very real phenomenon — I am a former elected GOP party official and I’ve resigned from the party to endorse President Obama for re-election, which I’ve written about at http://www.jeffwartman.com The GOP has moved way too far to the right to be considered anything but reactionary.

    The constant personal attacks on President Obama and destruction of his agenda to create jobs from the Republicans is nothing short of scary.

  4. I feel that the GOP has painted themselves into a corner with their antiquated ideas and “values”. It’s like they live in a 1950’s time-warp and they’ve managed to alienate everyone, the blacks, the Hispanics, the gays and just about everybody under the age of 40.

    They’ve become completely out-of-touch and I don’t see a single candidate who can beat President Obama. The only people who vote for them and buy their brand of bullshit is old rich white people. They’re imploding before our very eyes.

  5. Im not sure how an independent could even consider voting republican “this year”. But then again Im not sure how any American could vote republican this year.

  6. I wonder if the Republicans will have a brokered convention. Who would they elect? How will the candidates supporters respond to one.

  7. There’s this too (see link). No one can convince me that Romney doesn’t know about this already. He’s been embraced hard by the republican establishment who will lie, cheat, and steal elections to get him the nomination…and why? Because they know they can control him. Read this article…and if that doesn’t scare the life out of you, what will?

    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/02/13/1064417/-Grover-Norquist-on-the-GOP-candidates-All-we-need-is-someone-who-can-handle-a-pen-?via=blog_1

  8. Let me add one more thing. Please pass this link around (the Norquist article). We all know the republicans will cheat, buy elections, do whatever they can to get a victory, and to combat that and the massive amount of money they’re going to pour into the November elections, we simply MUST give Obama a landslide win. It’s much easier for them to cheat and rig an election when it’s close. Very hard to do if it’s a landslide. Please please get out the vote for Obama!

  9. With all of the voter suppression laws enacted by republican governors, also the re-districting in favor of the GOP, then Citizens United and the tons of cash from Wall Street and the oil industry it is going to be a hard slog, but the very thought of these radical GOP’s scares the life out of me
    so we have to work hard to succeed.

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