Republicans need to pick up 6 seats in the Senate to regain the majority. They thought it was a lock given the states and the fact that in midterms, the rising American electorate tends not to vote (single women, Latinos, African Americans and young people).
However, after their wildly reckless shutdown of government over ObamaCare (a law, bear in mind, they shutdown the government over a law passed by both chambers, making them lawless renegades who no longer honor the Constitutional or democracy), the polls show Republicans losing to generic Democrats in surprising areas.
Specifically, a Public Policy Polling poll showed that the shutdown will make taking the senate back much harder for Republicans. Additionally, in nearly every competitive Senate contest this quarter, southern Democrats outraised Republicans.
The Hill reported Tuesday that GOP strategists are hoping voters will feel that the tech glitches of ObamaCare’s rollout justify the GOP shutdown of government (in what world, I haven’t a clue – again, dying due to lack of affordable healthcare is not equivalent to technological glitch). They can read the awful polls but no biggie! Brad Dayspring, a spokesman for the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said the PPP polls are a “sham” and claimed they were skewed for Democrats. Yes, we’re doing that again.
Rep. Tom Cotton, who is running against Pryor in Arkansas, voted in favor of the compromise.
The last five polls give Pryor a slight lead over Cotton. PPP’s most recent survey also indicated a plurality of voters were less likely to support Cotton after finding out he initially supported the shutdown.
Brad Dayspring, a spokesman for the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said the PPP polls are a “sham” because the firm used “little tricks-o-the-trade” — like asking about a generic GOP candidate — “to skew the data to fit the narrative” of Democratic strength.
Yet, PPP was the most accurate predictor of the 2012 presidential election according to a study.
And then, other polls via Real Clear Politics for the Pryor V Cotton match up show Pryor leading now, too:
Talk Business Poll
10/8 – 10/8 603 LV 42 41 Pryor +1
8/4 – 8/5 587 LV 41 43 Cotton +2
In March, the Club for Growth and the Senate Conservatives Fund (the people behind the Cruz shutdown, by the way) touted a Republican polling firm Basswood Research poll that had Cotton beating Pryor by 8 points.
Apparently Republicans, recycling insults with the judgment of errant two-year-olds, can’t tell the difference between when they are reality based and when they are not. Back in March, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee spokesman Matt Canter mocked their conservative poll as a “sham”.
And of course, it is much more likely to be a sham than a poll by the most accurate pollster of the 2012 election, especially as it was done for the Senate Conservative Fund. Canter scoffed, “The fact is that this sham poll is brought to you by the Joe Miller, Richard Mourdock, Todd Akin wing of the Republican Party. Reince Priebus tried to excommunicate these guys yesterday.”
Yes, facts have a liberal bias and Republicans are once again taking angry, confused refuge in delusions. Perhaps this isn’t the time to mention that another poll that came out today proved my contention that Ted Cruz is not an extremist, he is actually a moderate Republican. That could inform the leadership as to why exactly their party is so reviled nationally, but instead they’ll play the victim and scream at the top of their lungs about skewed polls and liberal bias.
Hey, the truth is that the country just isn’t that into the Republican brand these days because dysfunction is only cute from afar; seriously dating the bad boy is another story.
Ms. Jones is the co-founder/ editor-in-chief of PoliticusUSA and a member of the White House press pool.
Sarah hosts Politicus News and co-hosts Politicus Radio. Her analysis has been featured on several national radio, television news programs and talk shows, and print outlets including Stateside with David Shuster, as well as The Washington Post, The Atlantic Wire, CNN, MSNBC, The Week, The Hollywood Reporter, and more.
Sarah is a member of the Society of Professional Journalists.
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