The media likes to pretend that GOP control of the Senate is a done deal, but a Republican poll of Louisiana found Sen. Mary Landrieu leading all of her Republican challengers.
The Advocate has the details on the Republican poll from Magellan Strategies:
Though Landrieu leads with definite and probable voters across the state, she only has 39.3 percent of the 600 voters interviewed between March 24 and March 26
U.S. Rep. Bill Cassidy, of Baton Rouge and the leading GOP challenger was the choice of 26.3 percent of the respondents and the second choice for 15.7 percent.
The other two Republicans in the race – state Rep. Paul Hollis, of Covington, and Rob Manness, retired U.S. Air Force officer from Bossier City – both scored in the single digits. Hollis, however, was the second choice for 17 percent of respondents.
When you keep in mind that this is a Republican poll, and conservative pollsters tend to demonstrate more inaccuracy than non-partisan polling, the news isn’t bad in Louisiana. Landrieu’s unfavorable rating is only 52%. The mainstream media keeps putting Louisiana in the Republican column already, but the truth is that this is a contest that Democrats can win.
Landrieu is nowhere near the 50% mark that she needs to avoid a runoff, but she has time. The media continues to bury the Democratic chances to keep the Senate, but Democrat Sen. Kay Hagen is within the margin of error in North Carolina, and Landrieu is leading in Louisiana. If Republicans fail to capture one or both of these seat, they have no chance of taking over control of the Senate. If Republicans lose in Kentucky, and/or Georgia, they will have blown their chance to take back the Senate.
2014 is the GOP’s last shot to take control of the Senate for a while. Republicans will be playing defense in the next few election cycles after this year. Democrats should be paying close attention to what happens in Louisiana. If Mary Landrieu pulls out a win, the odds are that Democrats will keep the Senate.
Mr. Easley is the founder/managing editor and Senior White House and Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association