Americans Prefer Democrats as The GOP Is On Pace For Lowest Election Year Approval Ever

Voter Lines

A new survey from Gallup found that Democrats are slightly underwater with their party approval rating, but the Republican Party is on pace for the lowest election year approval rating ever.

According to Gallup, the Democratic Party’s favorable rating is at 44%. The party’s unfavorable rating is 50%, which equals a net (-6) approval rating. The Democratic situation is relatively rosy compared to what Republicans are facing. The Republicans have a 34% favorable rating, and a 59% unfavorable rating. This equals a net (-25) favorable ratings. The Republican Party has been on a nine year losing streak that has seen it post higher negatives than positives since the first year of George W. Bush’s second term in office.

A few things jump out from these numbers. The media narrative that Obama’s approval ratings are dragging down the Democratic Party continues to be vastly exaggerated. In the latest poll, the president’s approval rating split matches up with his party (44%-49%). Obama’s numbers are likely the factor that is keeping the Democrats out of positive territory, but approval ratings are relative, and the president and his party are in much better shape than their opponents.

The reason why 2014 is so close is that both parties are in the negative. This suggests that potential voters are fed up with both parties. A fed up electorate will do one of two things. They will either be completely turned off and not show up to vote, or they will vote out incumbents in both parties. The anti-incumbent wave does not appear to be developing, so it looks like there is serious potential for voters in both parties to stay home on Election Day.

If voters stay home this bad news for Democrats, as the Republican base is old white men, and these voters show up for midterms. Victory or defeat for Democrats will depend on whether they get their supporters to vote. Since midterm election turnouts are tiny, a modest improvement of one or two points for Democrats could tilt the elections in their direction.

Democrats have an opening. The Republican Party remains at historically high levels of unpopularity. All Democratic supporters need to do is get over their apathy towards midterms and vote.

11 Replies to “Americans Prefer Democrats as The GOP Is On Pace For Lowest Election Year Approval Ever”

  1. Damn, I hate republicans, I hate the 1%ers and the fox news brainwashed minded ones that keep the 1%ers in business.

  2. Give them a reason to vote Democrat.

    Save Medicare and SS… vote Democrat
    Make banks pay for Student Loans and reduce interest rate.
    Get Money out of the elections vote democrat
    Equal pay for Equal work.. vote democrat
    Infrastructure work… fix it… vote Dem
    Give Americans a raise… vote Dem
    We are entitled to clean air and water, vote Dem
    We are entitled to a livable wage, vote Dem
    We are entitled to food and food safety, vote Dem
    More…. Just let me name the ways.

  3. That poll may be true but don’t ever underestimate the idiocy of certain Americans

    Nobama Country, Even Over Our Dead Bodies

    Eastern Kentucky in the Appalachian mountains contains some of the poorest counties in America. They are overwhelmingly poverty-stricken, overwhelmingly on government assistance programs, and overwhelmingly white. But they hate Barack Obama with a passion here, and it has everything to do with the fact that America’s first black president wants to help them and backs the programs to do just that, but people like Jim Feltner will never give him credit in places like in Wolfe County.
    Read More

  4. Democrats need to push on the ryan budget since every republican voted for it. Let seniors know once again that repugs want to privatize, voucherize and generally dismantle everything that helps people. And of course increase dollars for defense. If Democrats did this from now till November, they would sweep the mid-terms.

  5. The natural gas industry is what is destroying coal along with renewables. WTF is having coal when you are destroying the environment? Oh I forgot CO2 has no bearing on climate change.

  6. I am not a believer in polls because if we based elections on most polls,Robme would be president now.
    I am not a believer in polls because they lie and manipulate.
    I am not a believer in polls because most are b.s. I DO BELIEVE WE NEED TO GET OUT THE VOTE & DUMP THE TGOP! before it is too late!!! VOTE MID-TERM,JUST DO IT!

  7. Democrats are in fact the most unmotivated I have ever witnessed in my lifetime to vote in November. Couple that with a minority of conservatives very motivated to cast their vote against the black president and it may be a grim midterm. A local newspaper poll on the second congressional district in Maine has it turning red for the first time in decades(yikes!). If Mike Michaud loses the governorship and the second district goes to the GOP I will puke my guts out.

  8. Bob, another major factor in the declining number of jobs in the coal industry is that coal companies are cutting them back. But the media emphasis is on what Obama and the EPA are trying to do–sensibly, I think–to reduce CO2 emissions from power plants.

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