Red State GOP Governors In Danger Of Losing To Democratic Candidates This November


nathan deal

In a poll released by SurveyUSA on Thursday, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Paul Davis widened his improbable lead over incumbent Republican Kansas Governor Sam Brownback. The poll shows Davis ahead by eight points, 48% – 40%. Back in June, Davis held a six-point lead over the far-right Brownback. When Davis first entered the race, it seemed almost inconceivable that he’d find himself in this position in mid-summer. After all, Kansas is one of the most conservative states in the Union. Mitt Romney carried Kansas by 22 points in the 2012 Presidential election and the state’s legislature is overwhelmingly Republican.

However, pushing an extreme conservative agenda has its drawback, even in the reddest of red states.  Due to huge tax cuts that Brownback pushed through once he took office in 2011, the state is going broke. State and local government jobs have been slashed. The overall job growth for the state has been pathetic and is one of the lowest in the country. The state is dealing with an extreme revenue shortfall and it appears that Kansas will have to declare bankruptcy within the next two years if it continues along its current path. With the state running such a large budget deficit, basic services within the state have been cut.

This all explains why, despite its reputation as being a very conservative state, Kansas is turning its back on Brownback and getting behind a Democrat. Earlier this month, over 100 Kansas Republicans, many of them current officeholders, publicly endorsed Paul Davis. It was seen as an act of defiance as well as a statement to Brownback that right-wing ideology sometimes has to take a backseat to responsible governing. With the state going broke, government programs and services being slashed and job growth lagging behind the rest of the nation, more and more Republicans are getting behind a Democrat to fix the problems created by the current Republican Governor.

The poll shows that 29% of Republican voters now support Davis. Independents also favor Davis, as 48% say they prefer Davis to only 27% who support Brownback. Davis holds an insurmountable lead with moderates. Only 18% are for Brownback compared to 69% for Davis. Brownback is also suffering from a large gender gap as Davis is ahead with women by 15 points, 51% – 36%.

While we are still more than three months out from the election, and Kansas is a very conservative state, it is looking more and more likely that Kansas voters are going to kick Brownback to the curb in November. Brownback got into office due to his reputation as being a cultural warrior and a leader of the Religious Right, which plays well in a state like Kansas. However, what voters didn’t realize is that within three years of being elected, he’d push the state towards financial ruin. You can talk about guns, God and freedom all you want. However, you better make sure you don’t royally screw up the state’s economy while doing so.

Meanwhile, in Georgia, incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal is dealing with a real threat to his re-election bid as Democratic State Senator Jason Carter has an 8-point lead per the most recent poll. Deal is dealing with a messy ethics investigation into his 2010 gubernatorial campaign. This, along with his awful response to the ice storm that hit the state this past winter,  has seriously hurt his popularity in the state. Like Michelle Nunn, the Democratic Senatorial candidate that currently leads in the polls, Carter has a familiar name in Georgia politics. While Nunn’s dad is former US Senator Samm Nunn, Carter’s grandfather is former President Jimmy Carter.

Another race that has become way closer than anyone would have initially imagined is in Oklahoma. Incumbent Republican Governor Mary Fallin probably figured that her re-election bid would be a cakewalk. However, a Republican-leaning poll has Fallin only up by five points, 45% – 40%, over her Democratic challenger, State Rep. Joe Dorman. Even though Oklahoma is considered the ‘reddest’ state in the country, Fallin’s approval rating is below 50%. Much of this could be her stance on education as well as her refusal to accept Medicaid expansion funds. While Dorman is not a well-known name and he has the huge disadvantage of being a Dem in a conservative state, voters’ dissatisfaction with Fallin and her policies could put him in the Governor’s office this November.

24 Replies to “Red State GOP Governors In Danger Of Losing To Democratic Candidates This November”

  1. Well, well, now… the country WAKING up to the fact that any politician with the REPULICAN label is TOXIC for the country and states they represent. Goodness! Why do you think that in the OBAMA era NOTHING positive for the country moves forward at warp speed? Obama HAS done a LOT inspite of Republican Obfuscation and whining. We deserve more. Get rid of the mean-spirited Republicans and yoy WILL see and feel a breath of Fresh air emanating across the country. Right now, there is gloom and doom permeating the country’s psyche, thanks in no part to the Republican’s nasty, spiteful, obfuscating ways. They claim they are helping the country. Really? !!BS! Not so. They got to get outta’ the way, NOW (In November sweep them out, keep the good ones).

  2. PA may still “shed the red” Rethuglicans tried to foist on us and stay blue despite all the frikkin’ gerrymandering they did…Corbett is so despised, he was losing to every Democrat even before we had our primary and picked Tom Wolfe to run against him! Now it’s just a matter of being able to stand seeing his ridiculous campaign commercials until November…

  3. Rick “The Dictator” Snyder here in Michigan has seen his once-comfortable lead evaporate and Mark Schauer is now within the margin of error. Snyder is a liar and we don’t take kindly to that.

  4. I hope that us okies wake up and get rid of fallin! My sister is a hard core republican and is voting for Dorman. Hope others will follow her lead. One thing to add to the list of things that Oklahomans hold against fallin is her stance against in school storm to storm shelters but hell yes to 1% tax cuts and of course a penalty for trying to use solar energy.
    Get fallin out!!

  5. I wonder how that “guns everywhere” bill Deal passed in Georgia is working out? It only took one day after the bill passed before people started drawing weapons against each other for stupid stuff. If I had small children that would be reason to move to a state that isn’t insane about guns. Matter of time before a mass shooting happens in Ga. All because Deal was kissing the asses of open carry fiends.

  6. They’re all so bad. I thought Paul LePage was the worst. But he’s just among the worst. Brownbackistan is Koch country. That’s what they all want the states to be if Republicans had their way. Run by benevolent overlords like the Kochs, Pope’s, who hire their manservant governors to enrich them while making slaves out the rest of the 99%.

  7. In Brownbackistan the irony is he promised to cut taxes. He did…for the already rich. The middle class has seen their taxes raised through the roof. That’s the trickle down austerity Republicans keep pushing for.

  8. If the Klanservatives can’t hold onto Klansas, it is only a matter of time before Dixieland is all they have left. And even there, it appears some real trouble is brewing.

  9. Since my baby boy and his family will be moving to WI I say “yeah”. Walker out of the Governor’s mansion and into the Big House.

  10. I LOVE IT! My ethically challenged Governor, might soon be my EX ethically challenged Governor. Throw every republican Governor out starting with Nathan Deal!

  11. We can only hope that Texas isn’t far behind.
    Wendy Davis has raised over $3 million in small donations in her race against Gregg Abbott.
    That’s more than any statewide candidate in Texas history.

  12. You’d think that North Carolina would figure it out and clean house in November. McCrory raised taxes on MOBILE HOMES 700%, disallowed all deductions on payroll taxes and is throwing the money at out of state corporations like it’s going out of style with the promise of a few hundred jobs. They won’t figure it out until well after the elections when they file their 2014 tax returns and don’t get a refund next year on top of the larger chunk coming out of each paycheck, though. Then god only knows whether they’ll be able to put two and two together and come up with four.

  13. One has to wonder why this isn’t a given and not a surprise. Anti-science and Faux-religious lackwits who hate gays and women, abhor the poor that they would let wither and die instead of paying a reasonable wage.

  14. Would be very nice to see the rethugs in office lose big time. but I feel sorry for any Dem who wins in these red states. Unless the wining Dem has a state Senate and House that will work with him or she, they will face the same obstructing force as Pres. Obama. Red States are red because apparently, the people like what is presented. That is, until it hurts them. Some how I CAN NOT SEE, these super so called Christians, turning into thoughtful, kind, gentle folks, who have really read and thought of what Jesus taught and did as example.

  15. gsb @ Yes, I agree with you. All we can hope for is that we sweep in the mid terms and again in 2016. That will take care of the party of no, and also allow the Progressives to draw the districts. And just maybe the President will have made two or more USSC appointments by then.

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