‘Guaranteed Conflict Theory’ As An Explanation For Why The Police Keep Killing Black People

murdered by the police

Photo by Pat Barcas

Most people view the police favorably. Most people are white. When I point out massive problems with police brutality, abuse of authority, and policing tactics, I am met by yawns, defensiveness, or anger amongst most of my social and political circles, circles that extend to social media. While mine is a diverse social network, it remains predominantly white. However, I am part of at least three sub-cultures online (African-American, people with mental illness, and liberal, often peace or Occupy, protesters) that do discuss police misconduct with a great deal of seriousness and concern. These social circles are all talking about  Michael Brown and Eric Garner right now.

When I regularly share the examples of police abuse these communities generate, I get the feeling no one likes it very much. Folks, and I’m mainly talking about white people, just don’t like to hear about their police forces mistreating people, so they just seem to deny it happens. Or maybe they think the only people jumping up and down hollering about the police are anti-government conservatives. I think that’s why I have watched police officers repeatedly escape punishment for brutalizing people in clear-cut cases where the jury would have had to be blind not to witness the video evidence.  For example, the case of Kelly Thomas, a homeless, mentally ill man in Orange County who was beaten to death by officers as he screamed out for his father’s help, represents an example of the police seeking out a petty crime and then violently killing a man, yet remarkably, inexplicably, inexcusably, these officers were exonerated by a jury for an obvious case of murder. His father, a retired police officer, cried out in agony and shock at the verdict, unable to understand how his fellow officers were let off the hook for killing his son. I have had a nightmare where I am being beaten to death by the police, and I am screaming for my father, as a result of seeing the video of Mr Thomas’s death. Other people seem to give it a shrug.

Another example is the death of Eric Garner, who was killed by a police chokehold, when police were arresting him for allegedly selling illegal cigarettes. Mr. Garner was sick of being harassed by the police and he felt it happened because of his race. He said so. Right before he died at the hands of the NYPD. Michael Brown, the unarmed black teenager that was just killed in St. Louis, got into his altercation with the police over being disobedient about walking on the sidewalk versus in the street, at least according to the teen’s surviving friend and eyewitness.

All of these encounters have the same commonality. They involved the police tactic of “broken windows” policing. This policing strategy was developed by George R. Kelling and James Q. Wilson. The idea is that you crack the whip with small offenses ranging from loitering to vandalism to even jaywalking in a community, and this will decrease crime of all types. However, this policing tactic has been shown to lead to racial profiling as well as targeting of poor people in general.

More importantly, I believe it leads to inevitable conflict. I’m even going to propose a theory to serve as a corollary to broken windows theory. Let’s call this theory, “Guaranteed Conflict Theory.” According to this theory, when the police approach someone accustomed to being harassed by the police about a petty offense — such as sitting on the front stoop (NY), walking in the street, or just standing around in public – ‘offenses’ not enforced in other neighborhoods -  the accused will feel insulted, may return the disrespect or defy the ‘order.’ As a result, the police officer reacts as if he’s the offended party and escalates the situation until a violent outcome is achieved. I believe it is a dynamic that it is repeated time and again in interactions between the police and minority groups.

A nearly perfect example of the Guaranteed Conflict Theory is the case of an Arizona professor being thrown to the ground under arrest for jaywalking. The professor was shocked and disturbed that she was being stopped for a behavior that people do every day, and she responded to the officer with some degree of resistance because she simply couldn’t believe she was being targeted for such a petty crime. The (white) officer became angry with the disobedience he received, and he escalated the interaction into a physical conflict. Let’s be clear. It is the officer who has provoked this situation in these types of interactions, whose authority is questioned in such a way that he or she can’t bear it, and it is the officer who becomes violent. The officer’s inability to empathize with the individual he or she is dealing with is key. He doesn’t understand how it feels to be harassed for petty crimes; told that when you gather with friends, you are loitering. When you enter the ‘wrong’ neighborhood,’ you  looked suspicious.

Stop-and-frisk programs lead to stops of white people only 11% of the time in New York. Eleven percent. The rest of the time, it’s African Americans (a whopping 56% which is actually a decline) and Latinos (29%). Unless you’re truly bad at math, you can immediately calculate that a group, African Americans, who are 25% of the city’s population, are being stopped twice as much as they would be if officers were targeting citizens at random for stop-and-frisk. Of course, we know they don’t do that. Racial profiling is a given. If you want to get your drugs across the city of New York, send them with a white courier, odds are good he or she will not be stopped. Hint, hint, you’re losing the War on Drugs because you never look at white people with money.  Then again, policies like stop-and-frisk and its progenitor, broken windows theory lead to racial profiling, zero tolerance, and guaranteed instances of police brutality, misconduct, abuse of authority, and hostility between the police and the community.  As protests rage  in Ferguson, MO, over Michael Brown’s death, a Ryan Reilly, reporter from Huffington Post, described the SWAT forces “overkill” “acting as a military force” with a “disturbing mentality” that was physically aggressive and only served to make the tensions worse between police and the community.

There is no excuse for an officer who can’t handle being disobeyed, especially if they are going to be spending all of their time on the enforcement of petty crimes through the broken windows policing method. Way too many people want to let the police officers off the hook in these situations, because the person of color “didn’t obey orders,” while few seem willing to honestly ask themselves what it would be like to be targeted by the police in this way, under the “broken windows” approach.  By selectively micro-policing minority and other marginalized groups of people, the police guarantee a level of resistance and conflict with both these individuals and the communities they belong to.  The police stay busy, provoking certain people and communities as a matter of policy.  These people and communities react accordingly, as any of us might. Jails stay full. And the lives of those targeted – which never seem to enter into the calculation — are damaged, if not taken outright.

18 Replies to “‘Guaranteed Conflict Theory’ As An Explanation For Why The Police Keep Killing Black People”

  1. Ugh, that’s an adventure in nauseousness. Wow, these people have no sense of self-awareness. They are sitting there dripping racism as they complain that the protesters have no racism to complain about

  2. As long as people believe this bovine excrement we wont get anywhere as a nation. King Rupert must be proud

  3. Borrowing cigars is not a crime.
    Walking down the center of the street is not a crime.
    The killer cop overreacted.

  4. This is from a democrat. Methinks this will not end well for justice
    St. Louis County Prosecuting Attorney Robert McCulloch Thursday night blasted the decision by Gov. Jay Nixon to replace St. Louis County Police control of the Ferguson situation with the Missouri State Highway Patrol.
    “It’s shameful what he did today, he had no legal authority to do that,” McCulloch said. “To denigrate the men and women of the county police department is shameful.”

  5. Little understanding that the men and women of the county police department have already denigrated themselves

  6. My husband and I lived in Hanley Hills, which is a mostly black suburb just south of Ferguson for four years. We used to see black people harassed by the police constantly, so we started just stopping our car, getting out, and watching. It was to let the officer(s) know that white people with white privilege who would be believed as witnesses were seeing the whole scene. It visibly pissed them off even as we kept our distance. I am as furious as a person can be without being black about how black people are treated by the police having witnessed it my whole life (I also grew up in a majority black community).

  7. As if the police don’t have enough to face daily, their biggest threat comes from within. Their are some damn good cops out there who put their life on the line, however there are some cops who have a chip on their shoulders and love to throw their weight around. The sooner they squeeze them out the better. This blue brotherhood BS has to stop. When these problem cops do something wrong, the people don’t see individuals, they see a uniform.

  8. Happening in Hawaii as well.
    White State department wannabe rhambo security agent (Deedy) murders a local who isn’t lily white like him at a MacDonalds after last call when he had been bar hopping and the prosecutors and judges lean over backwards to allow his defense to smear the victim and gets off on murder.

    lesson if your white with a badge you have a license to kill any one who isn’t paller then you.

  9. I feel like I should have mentioned what first stimulated my interest in this issue. In high school, I was with my boyfriend who was black in the city adjacent to ours which is white, while ours is more diverse. We were pulled over by the police and told we basically looked suspicious. There was absolutely no other reason to pull us over. They then proceeded to conduct an illegal search looking for drugs which they naturally did not find.

  10. These actions against people of color are the actions of barbaric police officers who think they have every right to take the lives of the “others.” However, the “others” are quickly out numbering the barbarians, then what?

  11. Ms Forster, thank you for standing up. You and your husband are God Sends. But we need more of like minded. Lets grow this together even though I have all 3 blood lines. With your permission I will post your comment to promote a change in tactic. It is the only way to bring about change.

  12. Libertarians have been sounding this alarm forever. You just didn’t pay attention because you kept voting for either of the big two parties. Glad you finally came around.

  13. Then why do libertarians vote for republicans? And seeing that you are white and live in a white environment this shit aint new to us. So keep your fake concern to yourself

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.