Momentum Moves Towards Democrats As Republicans Get Worried About the 2014 Election

boehner-pelosi-gavel

Republicans have moved beyond nervousness and into flat out worry as the nation heads into the homestretch of the 2014 election. At the House level, Republicans are being outspent and their candidates are underperforming compared to 2010.

Politico interviewed a dozen Democratic and Republican strategists who all agreed that at best Republicans will pick up five seats in the House.

The strategists also agreed on other main points,

Republicans are convinced they’ll be significantly outspent by Democrats — in contrast to the 2010 midterm election when the GOP overwhelmed their opponents with an avalanche of cash.

GOP strategists are particularly worried about the performance of a handful of candidates who are well positioned to win but seen as running poor campaigns. Three candidates are mentioned repeatedly: Florida Rep. Steve Southerland, Nebraska Rep. Lee Terry and Virginia Republican Barbara Comstock.

Nearly a year after the government shutdown, Republicans privately say the party’s tattered public image is dragging down candidates in key races.

House Republicans are struggling to raise money, and the outside groups that they depend on are focused on the Senate races. Historically, the party out of power has gained 25 seats in the House during the president’s sixth year in office. Republicans set a more modest goal of 11 seats, but it appears that they may not reach half of that number.

It was vital for Republicans to expand their House majority this year because in 2016, there could be a Hillary wave coming, and in 2020 districts will be redrawn again. Newly redrawn districts could mean the end of the current gerrymandered House.

The Republican establishment also desperately wants to give John Boehner enough of a majority to form a tea party buffer. The internal goal has been to reduce the tea party’s power in the House, but that is looking less and less likely to happen.

The best outcome for Democrats would be a small gain in the House. Democrats can talk about taking back the House, but unless Republicans do something incredibly stupid, like shutting down the government, it isn’t going to happen.

There will not be a Republican wave this year, and the nation could be watching the first steps towards a future Democratic takeover of the House.

28 Replies to “Momentum Moves Towards Democrats As Republicans Get Worried About the 2014 Election”

  1. Who does the GOP despise more? Democrats or the tea party? I’m starting to think the tea party. They play nice to their face, while stabbing and grinding a knife in their back, cutting off all their life support!

  2. I think fear is a more accurate description than despise of the GOP’s relationship with the Frankenstein’s monster they helped create.

    John McCain’s coronation of Sarah Palin as the TP Queen and Joe the Plumber Sam the Idiot as her court jester started a rebellion they can’t contain without destroying.

  3. I’ve never been worried about this. I always said the Democrats will do just fine. They won’t loose 5 seats in the house, I see 3: Montana, W.Va and S.D.

    I’m not sure how many seats in Congress we will need to gain control. I think around 6. Anyway, with talk of another government shutdown, impeaching the President, and suing the President, I believe Democrats will do better in the Senate races than everybody believes.

    The GOP have to thank Karl Rove and Mitt Romney for the lack of financial donations. When you lie and tell donors your man is winning, and he is losing, donors flee from you.

  4. I know I’ve been doing all I can to inform people and get them to use the power of their vote.

    I live in an area that is fairly conservative in Southern Illinois, but we have our fair share of Democrats.

    I am trying to motivate those folks I know who say their vote doesn’t matter.

    I have been much more active in my efforts than ever before in my life. I have always voted, and tried to stay up on politics, but I am doing even more nowadays.

    As I have always seen in my life, if I am doing something, then a lot more people are probably doing the same.

    I hope that thought is correct and that many more people like me are becoming much more involved in the process, not just by voting, but by actively trying to encourage people to pay attention to what is happening and getting them to the voting booth.

    Also wanted to add, I like being able to rate the article, I also like the way the site is working now. Good job!

  5. This can only be good. We need to keep the Senate. The Koch suckers’ senate candidate in Michigan, Terry Lynn Land, is a horrible candidate. Repubs think they can put up a woman and that means women will vote for them. Insane. It’s the issues that repubs stand for and promise to do to us that are turning off voters. Any woman who votes repub is a traitor to her gender. It’ts about the future of women in our country and not someone’s outdated views.

  6. I’ve seen some of the Democrats’ Michigan ads — all featuring women dissing Land. The Dems obviously know what they’re doing!

  7. I don’t care what the pundits and strategists (both sides) say and think….I SAY: Democrats WILL take over the House in November and keep control of the Senate.
    That’s my gut feeling. Also it’s my man on the ground ear to the wind feeling.
    We shall see that I am right. Voters are fed up with the Republicans and their games. This will let the Obama administration do what is needed in the next two years, Without stumble-blocks and threats of a shutdown, impeachment, suing the President, and saying NO to everything. We need a breath of Fresh Air!

  8. Voter registration and block walks, coupled with phone banks to get out the vote is those areas highlighted in blue will take Texas Blue. Help do something about it! Do not rely on others to get it done! Women was one of the brightest points behind Obama trouncing McCain-Palin and Romney-Ryan! Women will be the key to taking America Blue! Remember the words of the “Occupy Wall Street” group – The “concentration of wealth in the hands of fewer and fewer people and the concentration of power in stricter, less compassionate hands,” still holds true today more than ever! Act as though we are far behind! Lets get this dance done! Blue is the color – It will not happen without your help! Get up! – Get out! – Get involved! – Get registered! – Vote Texas BLUE! Vote the nation BLUE!

  9. There are rumblings across the south. Georgia could go blue in 2014. Looks like Allison Lundgren Grimes has a good chance of ousting house leader Mitch the Mean, McConnell. CNN has a good article today on Dems looking strong across the board. I think CNN is being cautious. The deep resentment from millions who lost money during the GOP shut down (29 billion according to CBO) and the disdain for the unemployed when the GOP refused to pass extensions. The up rising of the fast food restaurant workers is unprecedented and I believe will lead to a big turn out at the polls. The economy continues to flourish even without much needed government infrastructure funds. I’m thinking November will be a cold surprise for the right.

  10. I don’t know where all these rumors of the Republicans taking the Senate are coming from. As a rumors intended and getting out the vote?
    I am just a deep lack of understanding how anyone could vote for a tea party person who is hell-bent on doing in the very people who voted him in. How’s that Social Security folks? Are you voting to have it taken away from you?
    All I know is, if you look at the picture above this article, I will never forgive Nancy Pelosi for not taking that gavel and cracking John Boehner across the head with it.

  11. Just look at what happened in NC, a young african american man (formerly candidate for
    senate in NC) was distributing leaflets asking people to get out and vote, he was
    arrested, handcuffed and taken to 3 different locations before taking him to jail, I have to find more about his but NC is taking us back to the 1950’s and it’s bad bad bad!

    Folks we have to do something – like vote!

  12. Maybe Dems are winning at the governor level, but not at the Senate/Congress level, if you believe the polls.

  13. Everyone keeps saying Dems cannot take House this Nov. With so many experts saying, I know it is probably right, but I still hope. I can’t help it. Two more years of this? The thought makes me feel ill.

  14. Republicans think keeping the House Majority &
    taking over the Senate is in the bag! a Mortal Lock!
    They’re so confident that’s gonna happen that they’re
    not even lying anymore.
    WE need to send them a ‘wake up call’ in November.
    Register to Vote. Get in line, Stay in line, Rock the Vote
    Let’s not let the Koch brothers buy Our Country!

  15. If Mark Pryor wins in Arkansas, the GOP can kiss the Senate goodbye. And he has a solid lead over his opponent.

  16. I wonder sometimes at the level of confidence of the GOP when it comes to this election. Are they just looking at history and engaging in wishful thinking? Or, are they planning to win electronically and not electorally?

    I’m generally not a conspiracy type, but I don’t trust the GOP and the people backing them. They have a lot of money and would do anything to win. They are not morally grounded, they are as crooked as can be.

  17. Just because you’re called paranoid doesn’t mean they aren’t out to get you. (Or something like that).

  18. Besides donating to many Senate, Gubernatorial, and Congressional races, I have been registering people to vote. I excited about the young people registering, especially young black people.

    I join my husband in Asia in a few days, but, I will be back to phone back, and ensure people know where their polling stations are and have transportation.

  19. The GOP gladly took their money – They were more than happy to have them on their side. Becoming corporate shills and calling to a higher, greener authority has destroyed the Grand Ol’ Party. The only reason they have the House is because they can gerrymander the districts to their advantage, and the GOP 5-4 SCOTUS advantage will last possibly 5 more years. Then game over.

  20. November 2014 is going to be the GTFO election for GOP and TP. We’re sick and tired of their crap.

  21. The GOP has built their own coffin especially since 1980 when Reagan welcomed the “religious” right-wing into their politics, continued in 2008 when a few vowed to not support President Obama and hammered nails into it in 2010 when, in their desperation, welcomed the so-called and mis-nomered so-called “tea party” a Koch Bros. support.

    This is NOT American. It is fascism and tyranny in plain and simple English.

    And SCOTUS, your decisions lately, have not been apolitical, but ideological and unConstitutional to name a few! They need to be overturned – and those who voted for it need to be impeached, as do those who voted out the Voting Rights Act and Hobby Lobby! Something needs to be done to you to ‘punish’ you for not doing your job as you should have done, favoring the rich and money and not in accordance with our Constitution – and NOW before your “decisions” completely ruin our country! Your are not American!

  22. The GOP has built their own coffin especially since 1980 when Reagan welcomed the “religious” right-wing into their politics, continued in 2008 when a few vowed to not support President Obama and hammered nails into it in 2010 when, in their desperation, welcomed the so-called and mis-nomered so-called “tea party” a Koch Bros. support.

    This is NOT American. It is fascism and tyranny in plain and simple English.

    And SCOTUS, your decisions lately, have not been apolitical, but ideological and unConstitutional to name a few! They need to be overturned – and those who voted for it need to be impeached, as do those who voted out the Voting Rights Act and Hobby Lobby! Something needs to be done to you to ‘punish’ you for not doing your job as you should have done, favoring the rich and money and not in accordance with our Constitution – and NOW before your “decisions” completely ruin our country! Your are not American!

    AND the DOJ needs to do something about States obstruct…

  23. My district the 2nd district of Maine held by Mike Michaud looks like Emily Cain might squeak out a win over Poliquin. I pray she does because her opponent is a far right entitlement cutter freak. Emily Cain would be a strong young progressive voice in the house. Worst case nightmare scenario would be a Lepage victory and the second district going to a tea party nut. Unfortunately my favorite candidate Bellows has no shot at the entrenched war-monger Susan Collins.

  24. Very biased article. The polls have been showing that there will indeed be a Republican sweep. I really hope so.

  25. I’m a Texan born and raised, but unfortunately I’m living in Indiana right now so l can’t vote in TX.

    However,I have Dem friends and family in TX still, and they are getting out the vote.

    Indiana is more ignorantly red than TX – or as TX USED to be – but we will do our best.

  26. Say, Andrew, when did you last check the polls? You might want to keep a closer watch, because the tide IS turning. There are still the Koch bought-and-paid for pols and the racists who are blind to EVERYTHING except the President’s skin colour. But that still leaves millions of Americans who can see beyond labels and lies and know what the radical right is doing to our country.

    I just hope enough of them have the guts to vote their convictions instead of the old, dead party line.

  27. Please, everyone, do whatever you can to help people to get to the polls. Help them to vote early. Help them to vote absentee.

    Become a poll worker, so that you can ensure that no dirty dealings are happening when people vote, and when their votes are counted.

    Thank you!

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