A Wave Of Biased Fox News Polls Is a Sure Sign Republicans Are Losing Senate Races


The wave of extremely biased Fox News polls is a sign that Republicans are losing battleground Senate races across the country.

The Fox polls have Mitch McConnell leading Alison Lundergan Grimes 45%-41% in Kentucky, Pat Roberts leading Independent Greg Orman 44%-39%, Dan Sullivan leading Sen. Mark Begich in Alaska 44%-40%, Tom Cotton leading Mark Pryor in Arkansas 45%-39%, and Cory Gardner leading Mark Udall in Colorado 43%-37%.

A deeper look at the polling itself reveals that Fox News made it easy to spot how they rigged the numbers for Republican candidates. The margin of error over is 3.5 points, but the margin of error for Democrats and Independents in each state ranges from 6-9 points. The margin of error for non-white and Latino voters was 8-9 points. If a poll underestimates non-white voters by eight to nine points, and lowers percentage of Democratic and Independent support by 6-9 points the result will be a series of polls that show Republicans way ahead.

Harry Enten at FiveThrityEight wrote about the pro-Republican bias that is built into Fox News polls, “Fox News polls throughout this election cycle have had a fairly strong pro-Republican house effect, a measure of how a pollster’s results compare to other polls. For instance, Fox News’s generic ballot has shown Republicans up by seven percentage points among likely voters for two polls in a row, while the average pollster has shown Republicans up by 3 points. Looking at national and state data, Fox News currently has a +3.6 percentage-point pro-Republican house effect.”

A look at the methodology for the latest Fox News polls reveals that the bias in polls seemed to have been amped up from 4 points to six points or more. The bias is worse that four point average that FiveThirtyEight had been using. The Fox News polls are another sure sign that Republicans are losing. Fox put out these polls in an attempt to shift the media storyline away from the Democrats’ growing momentum.

The Fox News polls are absurdly biased. They don’t match up with any of the recent polling except for the other Republican leaning CNN/ORC and NBC News/Marist polls. Polling has become a partisan battlefield, and the impact of this change is that the numbers are less reliable than they used to be.

Fox News tried to save the Republican Party, but all they accomplished was revealing the extreme bias behind their polling.

60 Replies to “A Wave Of Biased Fox News Polls Is a Sure Sign Republicans Are Losing Senate Races”

  1. This is why the tehadist will never change. Their propaganda network lies to them about their electoral chances like in 2012 and when reality hits them in the face they all run around like turdblossom questioning the results.

    Until your masters start dealing in truth and you realize you neither the majority or that your policies of never was America are failures you are doomed to the dustbin of history

  2. The Joseph Goebbels….. er…… I mean Fox sNooz needs to be investigate by the FCC for spreading propaganda, sedition, and hate crimes. They are not by any means journalism. If they want to be seen as truthful all of their on air propagandists should wear swastikas.

  3. If FOX is known to edit tape in their favor, lying to deceive their base, then what DO YOU EXPECT THEM TO DO WITH POLLS? They are experts at Manipulating events and news—AND POLLS. Not that it is good for the rest of us, but they sure can brainwash their fan base. So DON’T BELIEVE NONE OF THE FOX BASED POLLS–NONE! Y’all Hear me? Don’t believe ANYTHING FOX throws out there. Even their business news is NOT to be believed, they want things to seem gloomy and bad. Fear mongerers.

    —“The Fox News polls are absurdly biased. They don’t match up with any of the recent polling except for the other Republican leaning CNN/ORC and NBC News/Marist polls. Polling has become a partisan battlefield, and the impact of this change is that the numbers are less reliable than they used to be.”—-


  4. I love Fox News polls. It’s sort of like the quest, “Do you still beat your wife.” There is no good answer.

  5. Weird thing is, they believe those polls. Then when they lose, they melt down on national tv and demand that Meggie walk the halls looking for votes.

  6. This really went well for them the last time around. Let’s see, if you don’t succeed the first time at fantasy numbers, try and try again. Maybe your fantasies will eventually come true. Of course reality hits hard each time. Duh!!

  7. Yea,because Obama is soooo popular all across the country…and Dems up for reelection are soooo eager to have him campaign for them…heh

  8. You guys are cute. All the polls are trending towards the GOP, not because anybody really loves the GOP, but because you guys elected the worst president ever, by far. Seriously.

  9. Remember that the GOP have their own version of Nazi “Minister of Public Enlightenment and Propaganda”, Joseph Goebbels: his name is Frank Luntz. Luntz is right out of the Goebbels school of Fascist propaganda. He’s responsible for nearly all of the GOP’s propaganda and talking points. How do I know it’s true?
    I’ve confronted Mr. Luntz on his Facebook page several times and gave him the chance to deny his obvious link to the GOP as their unofficial Propaganda Minister…he hasn’t responded at all.

  10. >>>”A Wave Of Biased Fox News Polls Is a Sure Sign Republicans Are Losing Senate Races”

    Really? Now who’s delusional….wanna BET on that “brilliant” (/sarcasm) analysis?

  11. Don’t let your stupidity hit you on your ass on the way out
    Image and video hosting by TinyPic

    Image and video hosting by TinyPic

    According to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office, the deficit “plunged to $486 billion in fiscal year 2014;” that is $195 billion less than the record shortfall recorded during fiscal year 2013 and is the smallest recorded deficit since 2008. In fact, at just 2.8% of GDP, the deficit under President Obama is well below the average of the past 40 years

  12. Yeah….MSNBC is SO unbiased and straightforward. Oh wait….it’s been proven they are the most liberal biased network around. You are entitled to view your propaganda…and I have no issue with that. The issue is with your hypocrisy.

  13. Why do you teadadist assume we watch MSNBC? If that was the case since we trounced your sorry ass the last 2 elections you would think they would be number 1. But then again I used that key word think which you do not do

  14. YEAH! Unlike the totally straighline folks over at MSNBC!!!!!!

    Go ahead…keep on believin’ everyone thinks your president is wonderful….open…honest…doesn’t put golf before ISIS and intel briefs…competent…yada yada yada.

    PLEASE keep thinking that….its working out great…

  15. Pride goeth before the fall. The GOP were arrogant and cockey. They were so sure they had the Senate they made out a plan as to what they wanted to achieve in 100 days. Probably what they have accomplished 5 1/2 years: NOTHING!! McConnell and Roberts are outta here. Michelle Nunn will win Chambliss old seat.
    When Red States start electing Democratics in red state districts and Democratic governors in red states the
    Conservatives need to take note, something is wrong, and it’s two words: Koch Brothers!
    The policies are an epic fail in about 4 states, and now the Repubs are being laid out to dry.

  16. OMG. Seriously, you write a blog about polling, and you don’t have even a basic understanding of polling. You seem to think the margin of error has something to do with the weighting. I don’t get it. The margin of error does not speak to under representation of any specific group…yikes.

  17. its funny how teatards call obama the worst president ever when he has been more helpful to your party than to the Left.

    Quit being whiny little bitches and start accepting reality. Bush 2 was the worst president and Reagan was the 2nd worst.

  18. Don’t forget Hoover, Harding, Rutherford B. Hayes, Calvin Coolidge. Richard M. Nixon gets a pass because he did pass a lot of progressive laws on the environment but then again prolonging the war and lets not forget WATERGATE so he may get a mulligan

  19. Interesting comment. But I have a question. I’m a little fuzzy about what “fascist” actually means. Could you enlighten me? Thanks.

  20. I wish you teabaggers make your mind up. Is he a dictator or LEADER THAT DOESNT KNOW WHAT HE IS DOING?
    BTW that is not what the definition of fascism is
    A system of government marked by centralization of authority under a dictator, stringent socioeconomic controls, suppression of the opposition through terror and censorship, and typically a policy of belligerent nationalism and racism.

    Go back to summer school

  21. 1. Is he a dictator
    He wants to be, but I guess that depends on the definition

    He knows exactly what he is doing.

    the dictionary definition of a dictator:

    Definition of DICTATOR
    1a : a person granted absolute emergency power; especially : one appointed by the senate of ancient Rome b : one holding complete autocratic control c : one ruling absolutely and often oppressively
    2: one that dictates

    However, because he has not been granted “emergency powers” and has actually seized them without any legal authority, he better meets the definition of tyrant:

    Definition of TYRANT
    1a : an absolute ruler unrestrained by law or constitution b : a usurper of sovereignty

    In 2012, Obama to press ahead without Congress

  22. You totally mistook the entire context of your link. You have no idea what that link says.

    The president can only make directives, not laws. You didnt know that. Do you have a mental disorder? Almost all poorly educated conservatives do.

    Your link makes your entire post look foolish. Stop copy and pasting others work and grow up

  23. Does MSNBC hide their left lean? Do they promote all of their programming as “news”? No and no. People who can’t defend FOX without bringing in MSNBC do so because they have nothing. FOX NEWS VS MSNBC “the place for politics”. See the difference?

  24. MSNBC does not hide the right-leaning either. Neither network tries to hide their political leanings, however one can’t do it without being totally untruthful

  25. keep believing ur gop crooks and tp bagger nonsense cuz november 5th u stupid gop and tp is gonna get whipped, so far dems have a higher turnout among early voting than u ignorant gop

  26. ur banned from this site tea bagger and u got a surpise coming november when it hits u in ur stupid head that gop got whipped

  27. no ur stupid now bugger off tea bagger and prepare for big turnout among dems and ur assess get whipped

  28. Citizen Clinton I thank God every day that we have real historians writng this country’s history and not clueless hacks like you. No true historian would everrate President Obama worst than Bush 2. He’s so inept he makes Herbert Hoover look good.

  29. The article is basically irrelevant considering the fraud perpetrated at the polls by Democrats which has been factually proven over and over again. That being said, no one’s poll numbers are legitimate in a world where you have to have an ID to get a Library Card but can be 6 feet underground to vote democrat.

  30. I hope Fox News keeps exaggerating Republican numbers in the polls. That will help ensure more Democrats go to vote them out!

  31. As of today 10/11/14
    The Washington Post:
    Republicans have 95% Chance of winning senate
    52 Republicans 48 Democrats

    Republicans have 57.8% Chance of winning senate
    52 Republicans 48 Democrats

    Republicans have 66% Chance of winning senate

    52 Republicans 47 Democrats 1 Independent

    Sabato’s Crystal Ball
    Current outlook: Republicans net 5-8 Senate seats
    In 2006 the Pew Research Center and the Pew Charitable Trusts’ Project for Excellence in Journalism recognized the Crystal Ball as the leader in the field of political predictors, noting that the site “came closer than any other of the top ten potential predictors this cycle.”

  32. And yet not one state with oppressive voter laws has been able to produce any fraud.

    Thanks for the conservative articles, but no thanks

  33. Can you list the states with Oppressive voter laws and the exact laws please? Also, are these the same states where you must produce a library card to get a book at the library? To get on a plane? To get a credit card?

    Please do inform.

  34. “In 2006 the Pew Research Center and the Pew Charitable Trusts’ Project for Excellence in Journalism recognized the Crystal Ball as the leader in the field of political predictors, noting that the site “came closer than any other of the top ten potential predictors this cycle.”

    In other words, they haven’t been the top predictor for EIGHT YEARS! Lol!

  35. Glad to see you educated yourself on voter fraud. You see what happens when you do research? Wow. You actually get educated on the issues (rather than being a puppet for your party).

    By the way, I’m an equal opportunity voter. I hate Republicans and Democrats.

  36. I trust this George Washington University liberal professor’s point of view on Obama’s power grab much more than Shiva’s or any other of the Democrat operatives’ comments on fascism herein.


    Remember, when they make it Republican vs. Democrat it’s because they want to distract, divide and conquer the US people who simply want freedom. Watch the birdie!

    Damn the politicians.

  37. Johnathon Turley? Do you baggers think this fake ass emo speaks for progressives? Stop your bullshit. He is just another white boy whose feeling were hurt because the President wasn’t a good negro for his causes.

  38. In 2008, the Crystal Ball came within one electoral vote of the exact tally in the Electoral College, while also correctly picking the result of every single gubernatorial and Senate race across the country. In 2010, the Crystal Ball was the first to forecast a solid Republican takeover of the House. While others were predicting a Romney victory in 2012, the Crystal Ball forecast a substantial Obama margin in the Electoral College, and ultimately missed just two states. The Crystal Ball had a combined 97% accuracy rate in forecasting the Electoral College, Senate, House and gubernatorial contests.

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