Jeb Bush’s has raised loads of super PAC money, but it isn’t helping him with voters as early state polls show that Bush’s campaign is completely bombing.
A new PPP poll of New Hampshire revealed that Jeb Bush has fallen into a tie for fourth in the state that was supposed to be his firewall. Bush trails Donald Trump 32%-7%. He also trails Trump in a head to head match up 56%-33%.
The big finding in the poll was that Bush is struggling with conservatives, “Bush is really struggling. Only 38% of primary voters have a favorable opinion of him to 41% with a negative one. This is largely a function of his unpopularity with conservatives- among voters who identify themselves as ‘very conservative’ just 34% have a positive opinion of him to 48% who have a negative one. Only 3% say he’s their first choice for the nomination, putting him in a tie for 8th place with that group.”
The latest Monmouth University poll of South Carolina revealed that Bush is trailing Trump 30%-9%. Bush has a net positive favorability in South Carolina, but he isn’t what the electorate there wants. According to the poll, “South Carolina GOP primary voters say that, regardless of who they support in the primary, the country needs a president from outside of government who can bring a new approach to Washington (61%) rather than someone with government experience who knows how to get things done (28%).”
Bush is also getting crushed in Iowa according to the Suffolk University poll. Bush is in seventh place in Iowa, where he trails Trump 17%-5%.
These early state polls show that Jeb Bush’s run for the White House has been nothing short of a disaster, but it isn’t just Republicans who are rejecting Bush. Jeb Bush has trailed Hillary Clinton in every national poll general election hypothetical, as it is clear that voters do not want a return to the Bush years.
The Republican National Committee tried to frontload the nominating process in order to avoid a repeat of 2012, but their efforts have backfired and may make it easier for an outsider like Trump to capitalize on early momentum and run away with the nomination. If Bush doesn’t win early, it will difficult for him to make up ground if the party rallies around an outsider.
Jeb Bush is failing because there is no reason for him to be running. What is the point of his campaign? Bush is there because the Republican Party couldn’t afford to let one of the crazies be their nominee. Bush was supposed to be the most electable Republican, but Democrats, Republicans, and Independents don’t like him.
While Hillary Clinton has struggled, outside of New Hampshire, polls show that she is still running away with the Democratic nomination. Bush isn’t leading anywhere, which is why he is desperately both attacking and impersonating Donald Trump on the campaign trail.
The media has exaggerated Clinton’s struggles while ignoring the collapse of the Jeb Bush campaign. One of the most underreported stories of the early 2016 campaign is that voters are loudly saying no to another Bush in the White House.
Mr. Easley is the founder/managing editor and Senior White House and Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association