On the eve of the Michigan Democratic primary, a new Monmouth University Poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Bernie Sanders 55%-42%.
According to the Monmouth University Poll:
Hillary Clinton currently holds a 55% to 42% lead over Bernie Sanders in the Michigan Democratic primary. Clinton enjoys a solid edge among non-white voters (68% to 27%), who make up more than one-fourth of the likely electorate. Clinton (49%) and Sanders (48%) are virtually tied among white voters. Clinton has a 57% to 40% lead among voters who earn less than $50,000 a year, and a 54% to 42% lead among those who earn $50,000 or more. Sanders holds a solid lead (58% to 39%) among voters under the age of 50, but this is offset by Clinton’s more than 2-to-1 advantage among voters age 50 and older (65% to 31%).
One-in-ten voters (11%) say they have already cast their ballots in the Democratic primary and another 49% say they have completely decided on their candidate choice. Clinton voters (65%) are slightly more likely than Sanders supporters (58%) to say their choice is locked in, with Clinton voters being twice as likely to have already mailed in their ballots. Another 25% of Democrats have a strong preference but are still open to considering other candidates and 8% have only a slight preference while 6% say they are still really undecided.
Most Michigan Democratic primary voters (75%) believe that Clinton will eventually become the party’s nominee, including half of Sanders supporters. Just 17% of all primary voters think Sanders will be able to pull it off.
The Monmouth University Poll matches up with two other polls released on Sunday that showed Hillary Clinton with double-digit leads in Michigan. The Democratic race is becoming very consistent.
In states where there is a higher percentage of minority Democrats, Hillary Clinton does well. In primary states, Hillary Clinton does well. Bernie Sanders continues to lead with younger voters, but Clinton is winning or capturing a significant portion of the white vote in larger primary states.
Hillary Clinton is on the cusp of another good night in Michigan and Mississippi on Tuesday. Sen. Sanders is running a superb campaign, but he faces his biggest challenge yet in trying to turn around a dynamic that has former Secretary Clinton steadily advancing towards the Democratic nomination.
Mr. Easley is the managing editor. He is also a White House Press Pool and a Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association