The Republican fantasy that Donald Trump could turn Pennsylvania blue was punched in the gut by a new poll that showed Hillary Clinton leading by nine points in the Keystone State.
A new Suffolk University poll of likely general-election voters in Pennsylvania shows Clinton with a commanding lead over Republican Donald Trump. In a two-way matchup, she led Trump 50 percent to 41 percent, with 8 percent undecided.
In a four-way scenario, with Green Party nominee Jill Stein and Libertarian Gary Johnson added into the mix, Clinton led Trump 46 percent to 37 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 5 percent, Green Party nominee Jill Stein receiving 3 percent, and 9 percent undecided.
In the four-way ballot test, Clinton led by 19 points among women (50 percent to 31 percent) and trailed Trump by 3 points among men (44 percent to 41 percent).
Sixty-one percent of Pennsylvania voters said they support Clinton’s proposed ban on assault weapons, while 34 percent were opposed, and 6 percent undecided.
The hope of Republicans is that the angry white voters that Trump appeals to would be enough to turn Pennsylvania and Ohio blue. While Trump may have a chance in Ohio, he is getting swamped by Democrats in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh in Pennsylvania.
Demographics and Democratic voter registration advantage both work against Trump in Pennsylvania. There is a reason why the Keystone State has gone blue in each of the last six presidential elections. Pennsylvania is the ultimate fool’s gold for Republicans. It is a state that looks like it should be fertile territory for the GOP message, but as the Republican Party has gotten more conservative, Pennsylvania has remained moderate.
It is possible that Pennsylvania could turn red again someday for the right Republican nominee, but that person is not Donald Trump.
Mr. Easley is the founder/managing editor and Senior White House and Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA.Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association