A new poll of Georgia shows that the worst fears of the Republican Party are coming true as Hillary Clinton could turn Georgia blue for the first time since 1992.
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll found:
The poll released Friday shows Clinton at 44 percent and Trump at 40 percent in a head-to-head matchup, within the poll’s margin of error. It is the latest showing a close race between the two candidates in Georgia, a state that has voted for the GOP nominee since 1996.
In a four-way race, Clinton led Trump 41-38, followed by Libertarian Gary Johnson with 11 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein with 2 percent.
The reason why Clinton is winning in Georgia is that she is leading with both Independent and undecided voters in the state. Gary Johnson’s support in Georgia has gone from 1% in 2012 to 11% in 2016, but Johnson isn’t the GOP’s biggest problem in Georgia.
Just like in every other state where Clinton is leading, the problem for Georgia Republicans is Donald Trump. The Independents and undecideds in the state are breaking for Clinton, because of Trump.
During an April interview with ABC News, former Sec. Clinton specifically mentioned Georgia as a state that she would like to make competitive for Democrats, “And I particularly want to support Democrats in states that have been voting against Democratic candidates for awhile now to rebuild the Democratic Party. We’re going to try to make Georgia competitive, and we’re going to fight hard in North Carolina and Virginia and Florida.”
Hillary Clinton is currently leading in every state that she mentioned. Clinton is leading in Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, and Georgia.
The worst nightmare of the Republican Party isn’t that Donald Trump loses, but that he allows Democrats to break their Southern stronghold. Georgia’s changing demographics make it potentially fertile territory for the Democratic message. Donald Trump’s candidacy is accelerating the shift in Georgia.
Mr. Easley is the founder/managing editor and Senior White House and Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association