Last updated on July 17th, 2023 at 09:05 pm
A new Monmouth University Poll of Missouri revealed that Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are statistically tied in the red state of Missouri.
According to the Monmouth University Poll:
Among Missouri voters likely to cast ballots in November’s presidential election, 44% currently support Trump and 43% back Clinton. Another 8% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 1% name another candidate, and 5% are undecided.
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Trump does as well as Clinton in getting the backing of fellow partisans, with 87% of Republicans supporting their party’s nominee and 88% of Democrats backing their standard bearer. Independents are divided at 40% for Trump and 35% for Clinton, with 14% supporting Johnson.
Clinton leads by 65 points among black, Hispanic, and Asian voters (78% to 13%), while Trump leads by 13 points among white voters (50% to 37%). In 2012, Barack Obama won non-white voters by 73 points, while Mitt Romney took the white vote by a commanding 33 points. Trump is currently doing better among white women (54% to 36%) in Missouri than he is among white men (45% to 37%). This gender gap is the opposite of what the Monmouth University Poll has been finding among white voters in other states as well as its national polls where Trump has been doing better with men than women.
Missouri has gone Republican in the last four presidential elections, but it could turn blue in 2016 because Trump is doing twenty points worse with white voters than Mitt Romney did in 2012. Unlike other red states that Trump is in jeopardy of losing, Georgia for example, Trump has equaled Clinton in the level of support from his own party.
Trump’s issue in Missouri is with white male voters. The fact that Trump is doing better with white women than white men suggests that much of Trump’s rhetoric has alienated the backbone of Trump’s support.
The Missouri poll showcases the fact that the Trump campaign has a multitude of problems.
There isn’t just one issue that the Trump campaign needs to address to be successful. Trump is losing voters at the state level on multiple fronts. Democrats have a real chance of flipping Missouri in 2016, and the main reason why is the failed campaign of Donald Trump.’
Jason is the managing editor. He is also a White House Press Pool and a Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association
