Republicans are in a full-blown panic and warning that Democrats will win back Congress in 2018 if their health care bill fails to pass.
Rep. Chris Collins (R-NY) warned that the healthcare bill is a make or break for Republicans, “If we get this done, and tax reform, he believes we pick up 10 seats in the Senate and we add to our majority in the House. If we don’t get it done, we lose the House and the Senate.”
Judging by President Trump approval rating at the recent history of midterm elections, the odds are very long that Republicans would be able to add to their majorities next year. A more realistic assessment is that Republicans will face a choice between losing a little or a lot.
There is a growing consensus that voter backlash to both Trump and the unpopular health care bill could cost Republicans mightily in the 2018 midterm elections. An election map that should have been favorable to Republicans is running headfirst into a country that dislikes the Republican president, and a motivated opposition that appears ready to come out and vote.
House Republicans have seen the angry town hall crowds. They know what Democrats faced when they passed the Affordable Care Act. Congressional Republicans are deeply divided on what to do and scared out of their minds.
The entire health care bill crisis was a self-inflicted wound caused by Speaker of the House Paul Ryan trying to speed rush an ACA replacement bill through Congress. None of this was necessary, and it all could have been avoided if Ryan and Trump would have decided to take repeal and replace slowly.
Because Paul Ryan and Donald Trump insisted on jamming a poor piece of legislation through Congress, Democrats may be in great position to take back Congress in 2018.
Republicans are panicking, and they are less than 48 hours away from a vote that may decide if they lose control of Congress.