Things are looking dire for House Republicans as a slew of incumbent retirements, poor fundraising, and a wave of strong Democratic challengers are all combining to point to a Democratic 2018 tidal wave that could take over the House.
National Journal reported:
House Republicans are growing increasingly alarmed that some of their most vulnerable members aren’t doing the necessary legwork to protect themselves from an emerging Democratic tidal wave. In some of the biggest media markets, where blockbuster fundraising is a prerequisite for political survival—most notably in New York City, Los Angeles, and Houston—Republican lawmakers aren’t raising enough money to run aggressive campaigns against up-and-coming Democrats.
The odds of a Democratic House takeover in 2018 have never looked greater this election cycle. One plugged-in House Democratic strategist, who has previously been circumspect about the party’s chances to win control of the lower chamber, put the chances of Nancy Pelosi again becoming speaker at a 7 (with 10 being the most likely).
Trump’s attacks on Republicans in Congress may help him, but they are making life incredibly difficult for incumbents in his own party. Trump has soured the party on his own House and Senate, while Democrats have come roaring back with an exciting new wave of fresh faces, and eye-popping fundraising numbers.
House Republicans could survive their dysfunction during previous elections because they could always blame Obama. A Republican president and a Republican-controlled Congress mean that their inability to govern has consequences. They are in charge now. There is no one to point fingers at and blame.
If Democrats win back the House, it will be the end of the Trump presidency. There will be real investigations into Trump’s conflicts on interest and the Russia. Most importantly, the Trump agenda will be dead in the water.
As a candidate, Donald Trump promised so much winning, but as president, he could oversee a historic loss of the House.