The old narrative that Trump voters will stick with him through anything is crumbling as voters in key states are leaving him over the government shutdown.
The Washington Post went to Michigan, and what they found a was president whose base is cracking:
While Trump’s relationship with much of his base remains strong, two years after his inauguration his ties are fraying with voters like Daudert, the kind who voted in droves for Trump in 2016 in key pockets throughout the industrial Midwest and flipped previously Democratic states to him. The shutdown fight, as it has played out over the past month, is further eroding his support among voters who like the idea of beefing up border security, but not enough to close the government.
Many here, even those who still support Trump, say they hold him most responsible. They recite his comment from the Oval Office that he would be “proud to shut down the government.” When he said it, they listened.
Trump is losing support over the government shutdown
The shutdown is wrecking Trump with his base. The president has lost double-digit support with evangelicals and suburban white men. He has also seen declines in support with Republicans and men without college degrees. Trump’s base is abandoning him because he hasn’t been able to justify the shutdown, and he has shown no sign that he cares about the people who are being harmed by his decision. The danger for Trump is that he is confirming that he doesn’t care about the same people who he campaigned on speaking for. The perception has become a reality.
Trump won in 2016 by about 80,000 votes in three states.
If Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania flip back to the Democratic column, Trump will be doomed in 2020. The early signs are there that voters in these states realize that they made a mistake in 2016, and are getting ready to right their wrong in 2020.
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