Donald Trump’s 2020 re-election chances took another hit today when a new poll was published in Michigan showing his support in that state has severely dissipated since 2016.
In the 2016 election Trump won Michigan by just 10,000 votes, representing .27% of the total votes cast.
The new poll shows that the vast majority of Michigan voters participating in the survey do not plan to vote for Trump again should he run for president in the 2020 election.
In fact, just 31 percent of poll participants said they will definitely vote to re-elect Trump in 2020.
Taken together these polls show that show Trump is in big trouble in swing states he won in 2016.
The new poll was taken during a time when the president has had a series of failures both domestically and in foreign affairs.
- Trump failed to reach a deal to denuclearize North Korea
- Reports show that both the budget deficit and the trade deficit have increased significantly.
- He faces a vote in the Senate to repudiate his emergency declaration calling for construction of a wall on the southern border.
- He has been accused of racism and crimes by his former lawyer Michael Cohen, and others.
According to the new poll:
- 65 percent of Michigan voters say they will either definitely or probably vote to replace Trump in the 2020 election. 49 percent say they will definitely vote for someone else and another 16 percent say they will probably vote for someone else.
- Only 31 percent of poll participants said they will definitely vote to re-elect Trump in 2020.
- Independent voters are hurting Trump’s numbers more than any other group. Among independents, 44 percent say they will definitely vote for someone else and 27 percent say they will probably back another candidate
- Just 18 percent of independent Michigan voters say they will definitely vote to re-elect the president next year.
- Among women, 57 percent say they definitely will vote for someone else, while 17 percent say they will consider another candidate.
- Among men, 41 percent say they will vote for someone else and 14 percent who say they will consider someone else.
- Only 67 percent of Republican voters in Michigan said they would definitely vote to re-elect Trump. It’s interesting that 42 percent of Michigan voters identify as Republicans, but just 31 percent of voters say they definitely will vote for Trump next year.
“The vote to re-elect numbers are 31 percent — 11 points below the (Republican) Party identification.That spells trouble for him,” said EPIC-MRA pollster Bernie Porn. “And there are people who saying they like him, or are giving him a positive job rating, who are still saying they won’t re-elect him. That gap is a problem.”
Although there is time for Donald Trump’s poll numbers to improve over the next 20 months, it does appear that his reelection chances are very dismal right now. Also, it is possible that as more revelations come out about his crimes and collusion with Russia, his poll numbers could go down even further.
This new poll is the latest evidence that it is very unlikely that Donald Trump will remain president after his first term runs out. Of course, he may not even make it that far.
I am a lifelong Democrat with a passion for social justice and progressive issues. I have degrees in writing, economics and law from the University of Iowa.