A new poll shows that Donald Trump is in trouble. According to the highly respected Quinnipiac University poll, the majority of American voters have already made up their minds that they will not vote to reelect the president in next year’s election.
The poll also found that in the crowded 2020 Democratic presidential race, with more women and minorities running than ever before, three white men are leading the rest of the field. The three are, in order, former Vice President Joe Biden, Vermont independent Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke.
Biden is the top choice of 29 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents surveyed, followed by Sanders at 19 percent, with O’Rourke placing third at 12 percent.
“Hungry for a candidate to take on President Donald Trump, Democrats and Democratic-leaners put the three B’s, Biden, Bernie and Beto, at the top in a race where age, race and gender take a back seat to electability and shared views,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll.
With respect to Donald Trump, the poll showed that a majority (53 percent) of all voters say they definitely will not vote for him in the 2020 general election if he is the Republican candidate.
Just 30 percent of voters said they definitely WILL vote for Trump, and another 13 percent said they are undecided, and may or may not cast a ballot for the incumbent president.
The “definitely voting for Trump” category includes 77 percent of Republicans, one percent of Democrats and 21 percent of independent voters participating in the poll.
“The loyal base stays the course, but 53 percent of all American voters say they’ve had enough and will not vote for President Trump,” Malloy commented about Trump’s support.
California Sen. Kamala Harris is mired in fourth place in the Democratic polls, with just 8 percent at this stage of the contest. Surprisingly, South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren are tied for fifth place at 4 percent.
Below them come the rest of the pack: Sens. Cory Booker (N.J.) and Amy Klobuchar (Minn.) at 2 percent, former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro and former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper at 1 percent. All other candidates, including Sen. Gillibrand of New York, received less than 1 percent.
It’s also somewhat surprising that despite being read a lengthy list of candidates, 14 percent of Democratic voters say they are undecided and have no preference.
The poll asked about participant preferences for the most important factors they’re looking for in a 2020 presidential candidate. Seven-in-10 Democrats said that age will not be an important factor in their vote, and 84 percent said gender will also not be an important factor.
Asked to choose between a candidate that most shares their views on issues or a candidate that they think is most electable, Democratic voters split: 51 percent choose the candidate who shares their views, and 45 percent pick the most electable candidate.
Trump is in Real Trouble
This latest poll confirms what we’ve known for a long time: Donald Trump’s reelection chances in 2020 are in deep, deep trouble. He and his supporters in the Republican Party are clearly blind to this, and act like Trump is the frontrunner who will definitely be reelected.
I am a lifelong Democrat with a passion for social justice and progressive issues. I have degrees in writing, economics and law from the University of Iowa.