Susan Collins

Could The Senate Go Blue This Year? Poll Shows 4 GOP Lawmakers Are Underwater Versus Dem Rivals

Even if Democrats win the presidency this year, it would be hard for any Democratic president to get a lot done with policy, given the current make-up within Congress.

While Democrats control the House of Representatives, currently Republicans have a majority in the Senate, with 53 senators in the “upper house” part of the GOP caucus.

But a new poll from a left-leaning organization demonstrates some hope for Democrats to take control of the Senate this year, too.

To get more stories like this, subscribe to our newsletter The Daily.

Public Policy Polling, which receives a better-than-average rating from FiveThirtyEight in terms of accuracy (and which accurately predicted the popular vote outcome in 2016’s presidential race, within the margin of error), released data on four senate elections set to commence in 2020.

All four seats are held by Republicans — and all four show Democrats with a lead of four points or more, according to polls from PPP.

In Maine, Democrat Sara Gideon leads Sen. Susan Collins, 47 percent to 43 percent, respectively. It’s nearly the same story in Arizona, where former astronaut Mark Kelly receives 47 percent support against Sen. Martha McSally’s 42 percent.

North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis is losing to challenger Cal Cunningham, 46 percent to 41 percent. Previous polling from PPP also has John Hickenlooper defeating Sen. Cory Gardner in Colorado by 13 points.

One of the biggest factor in at least a few of the races seems to be President Donald Trump’s unpopularity. PPP explained:

One thing making life harder for both Collins and McSally is Donald Trump’s unpopularity in their states. In Maine only 42% of voters approve of the job he’s doing to 56% who disapprove, and in Arizona only 45% of voters approve of the job he’s doing to 51% who disapprove.

Four Senate seats flipping would change leadership in the Senate, but there’s a bit of a hitch: according to Cook Political Report, one Democratic Party member’s senate seat, belonging to Alabama Sen. Doug Jones, is in “lean Republican” status. If Jones does indeed lose this November, the Senate would be tied, 50-50 — with tie-breaking votes dependant on the vice president, making the presidential election even more dire.

However, with reports indicating that Gov. Steve Bullock of Montana will run as a Democrat for senator in that state, it’s possible that a fifth seat could flip. Bullock’s opponent, incumbent Sen. Steve Daines, is in a “solid Republican” position right now.

However, Bullock’s popularity in the state is at a higher rating than Daines’ is at, meaning in the next few months things could change significantly for Montana, in terms of which party will win in this year’s race.

Recent Posts

Justice for Crystal Mason as Conviction for Illegal Voting is Finally Reversed

There is finally justice for Crystal Mason as her conviction for illegal voting was reversed,…

49 mins ago

Biden Confirms That Dark Brandon Is Real At Fundraiser With Clinton And Obama

President Biden confirmed that Dark Brandon is real during a fundraiser with former presidents Bill…

10 hours ago

1/6 Cop Killer Trump Shows Up At Police Officer Wake To Tout “Law And Order”

lice officer to talk about how the killing of police officers must stop, after he…

16 hours ago

James Comer Basically Begs Joe Biden To Revive Impeachment By Testifying

In what should be viewed as a last gasp move to revive his impeachment investigation,…

17 hours ago

Voter Fraud Found As Georgia GOP Vice Chair Illegally Voted 9 Times

A Georgia judge has ruled that vice chair of the state Republican Party voted illegally…

19 hours ago

Senator Warns It’s Critical to Declassify Info on ‘Grave Counterintelligence Threat’ Paul Manafort

After news that former Trump campaign chairman and convicted felon Paul Manafort might rejoin Donald…

23 hours ago