Last updated on July 18th, 2023 at 12:20 pm
A loss in Pennsylvania could be on the table as new election results show Trump‘s lead shrinking and Biden on course to overtake him.
Nate Cohn of The New York Times tweeted:
–If you just take the raw number of mail absentee ballots left, the votes are there for Biden given how well we expect him to do there
–If you just look at the completed counties, it’s clear Biden’s faring well enough once in the places that have counted their absenteesTo get more stories like this, subscribe to our newsletter The Daily.
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 4, 2020
He was backed up by Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding:
Biden will win in PA if the absentee margins hold – Biden been winning 79% of all mail ins. And 1.1 mail in ballots uncounted still. So @Nate_Cohn is correct on his hunch. #Election2020 https://t.co/DSB4q0BHx7 pic.twitter.com/dxhqT2IjJI
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 4, 2020
Trump didn’t hit the level of in-person election day vote lead that he needed, which was 15 points or more, to hold off what looked to be a blue wave of Biden mail-in votes from across the state.
One of the under-discussed tricks that election officials in Trump counties tried to pull on election night was only reporting election day vote to inflate Trump’s lead artificially. Even in the reddest counties of Pennsylvania, there Joe Biden Democratic votes. Those votes alone could be enough to take a bite out of the tiny portion of the mail-in vote for Trump, 586,336 Republican ballots returned, compared to over 1.6 million for Democrats.
If Biden wins Pennsylvania and completes the sweep of the blue wall plus adding Arizona, and potentially Georgia, it will be a result that Trump could not successfully contest.
Democrats have been feeling good about Pennsylvania, and the data suggests that Joe Biden is on pace to return the state to blue.
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Jason is the managing editor. He is also a White House Press Pool and a Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association
