While it’s still early, Democratic Senate candidates Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock appear to be performing better than expected in the absentee and mail-in vote, according to the data that’s come in so far.
As Nate Cohn pointed out on Twitter, “We’re starting to get some votes and most of it is early and absentee votes, where Democrats were expected to fare well. In our view, Dems faring a hair better than expected in the absentee vote.”
We’re starting to get some votes and most of it is early and absentee votes, where Democrats were expected to fare well. In our view, Dems faring a hair better than expected in the absentee vote, but the big question mark is the Election Day vote and we still have very little
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) January 6, 2021
MSNBC‘s Steve Kornacki also pointed out that In Georgia’s most populous county – Fulton – both of the Democratic candidates are getting slightly stronger mail-in vote margins than Joe Biden did against Donald Trump.
“They want to when all the votes get counted up in Fulton County … be at the Biden number,” the MSNBC numbers guru said.
Steve Kornacki points out that in Georgia’s most populous county, both Ossoff and Warnock have so far outperformed Biden’s mail-in ballot margin. pic.twitter.com/BWNwqdISGa
— PoliticusUSA (@politicususa) January 6, 2021
The Georgia races are headed for a photo finish
As Nate Cohn noted in the tweet above, the open question is whether Republicans can overcome the clear Democratic early vote advantage with a strong Election Day turnout.
That is certainly plausible as reports indicate long lines in areas that tend to be more favorable for the GOP, like Cherokee County.
Regardless of how these two contests shake out in the end, the two Georgia runoff races will like be a pair of squeakers.
Sean Colarossi currently resides in Cleveland, Ohio. He earned his Bachelor of Arts degree in Journalism from the University of Massachusetts Amherst and was an organizing fellow for both of President Obama’s presidential campaigns. He also worked with Planned Parenthood as an Affordable Care Act Outreach Organizer in 2014, helping northeast Ohio residents obtain health insurance coverage.