With about seven weeks until election day on November 6th, Republicans are in full panic mode. Almost every recent poll shows the president’s unpopularity falling to record low levels, while at the same time congressional generic ballots show Republicans facing a bloodbath in the midterms.
Many people believe that the 2018 midterm elections are as important as any elections held in American history.
This assessment has not been done only by political scientists either. American voters have also given their opinions on the importance of this year’s elections by voting in the 2018 primaries in record numbers.
Three new polls released this morning could spell doom for the GOP in November’s elections. These polls continue the rash of bad news that has come out recently for Republican candidates.
Today’s polls deal with two major factors that are known to influence the outcomes of midterm elections:
People in the White House are getting worried. According to insiders who were interviewed by Robert Costa from the Washington Post, the President of the United States has quit talking to people and has become very isolated. They say he spends most of his time watching cable TV and tweeting.
This week Donald Trump bragged about how his candidates were all winning, but a closer analysis by the Associated Press (AP) shows that Republicans should be very worried.
The new AP study shows Democratic voters being more enthusiastic than Republicans in almost a dozen federal special elections since President Donald Trump took office. Enthusiasm of voters is measured primarily by how many of each party turn up to vote, which has historically been a major problem for Democrats in elections when presidential candidates are not on the ballot.
On Tuesday, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis said the U.S. military may be used to defend against or prevent Russia’s election meddling in the upcoming 2018 midterm elections — but did not elaborate as to specifically how the armed forces would be deployed.
Republicans in the House of Representatives have put forward a spending bill that excludes new money for election security grants to states, causing an outcry from furious Democrats.
Amid a firestorm of controversy about President Trump’s denial of Russian election interference there was an expectation that the House would fund a bipartisan approach that would help states protect themselves from cyber attacks and other threats to election security.
Trump has made immigration and trade the two centerpiece issues of his midterm election strategy, but a new poll shows that he is losing on both as Democrats have surged to a double-digit lead on enthusiasm.
Obama reportedly held the one-on-one sessions in his D.C. office over the past several months, including former Vice President Joe Biden, Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick (D).
Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer said Wednesday that he has asked former president Barack Obama to help, and he is optimistic that Democrats can take back control of the Senate after the 2018 midterm elections. In an interview with The Washington Post, Schumer (D-N.Y.) asserted that Democratic candidates are doing very well in their Senate campaigns this year.
Two recent opinion polls have lifted Democratic spirits as well as their prospects of sweeping to victory in the fall midterm elections.
A new poll from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal says that:
- “By a whopping 25-point margin, voters say they’re more likely to back a congressional candidate who promises to serve as a check on President Donald Trump.”
- “And by a similar margin, they say they’re less likely to vote for someone who has supported the president on most issues.”
This is a huge differential. It proves the old adage that Americans generally prefer a split government, and don’t like it when one political party dominates Washington. The vast majority of Americans want Democrats to be in charge of Congress to “serve as a check” on the president.
The nonprofit fundraising group ActBlue announced this week that their fundraising from small donors for the 2018 election cycle is far exceeding their expectations. If they continue to raise money at their current pace then ActBlue could provide Democratic candidates a much-need $1 billion war chest to use in their battle to take back control of Congress this year.
People of a certain age will recall the great 1966 comedy film by Norman Jewison called “The Russians Are Coming, The Russians Are Coming.” It is about a Soviet submarine that gets stranded on an island off the coast of New England, and it hilariously captures the paranoia that was rampant during the Cold War.
When incumbents don’t run for reelection the opposing party has a much better chance to pick up a seat, since incumbency usually guarantees a win for whoever is in power.
While over half the U.S. population is female, four out of every five members of the U.S. House of Representatives are men.
Given the number of women running for Congress in 2018, that statistic may significantly change when new members of the House take office in January of 2019.
Texas Democrat and U.S. Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke raised a record-setting $6.7 million in the first three months of the year, according to the Dallas Morning News. He still trails Ted Cruz in the polls, however, in a solidly red state which has not seen a Democrat elected to the Senate in 18 years.
It's nothing short of embarrassing that the folks who know GOP Senate candidate Kevin Nicholson best – literally, his folks – don't think he should be a U.S. Senator.
"Trump's very much in line here with what you'd expect to see from a president whose party takes a shellacking in a midterm election."