Loyalty to Trump May Cost the GOP Senate Control in 2020

The battle for control of the U.S. Senate in 2020 may be decided in the cornfields of Iowa.

Incumbent Republican Senator Joni Ernst is a rising star in the GOP and her seat is supposed to be safe. But nothing is safe for Republicans now, after Donald Trump’s trade war. Trump’s tariffs have caused massive financial problems for Iowa farmers who have depended on exports to China to stay solvent. read more

Trump Is Radioactive So Many Republicans Want Nothing to Do With Him

Everybody knows that President Donald Trump has many enemies and detractors in the new Democratic-led House of Representatives.

But it’s now becoming apparent that many Republican members of Congress are also not fond of the president or his policies, and are looking for ways to distance themselves from him. The reason, they say, is to try to assure their own political survival in the future. read more

The 2018 Blue Wave Was Much Bigger Than You Think

Many Democrats seem to feel that they “lost” the 2018 midterm elections, but that is not true. 

Yes, a large number of Democrats are very disappointed (especially in my home state of Florida). And many rising progressive stars lost: Beto. Stacey. Andrew.  read more

Trump in Trouble As Polls Show Dems Ahead in Key Senate Races

President Donald Trump’s chances of avoiding impeachment in the U.S. Senate are taking a turn for the worse as more polls show Democrats leading in key Senate races.

With public opinion strongly against Trump Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, Republicans are taking a great chance by forcing through a vote on his confirmation. Many voters — but especially women voters — are very unhappy at the way the GOP senators have discounted the claims of sexual assault against Kavanaugh. read more

Kavanaugh Charges Will Likely Give Democrats Senate Control

A Big Blue Wave has been building all year in favor of Democrats. As Trump’s approval keeps dropping to historic lows, the chances of a Democratic takeover of the House of Representatives keeps rising. Last week several polls showed the blue party with double-digit leads in the generic congressional ballot. Experts were saying even the Senate was in play. read more

New FiveThirtyEight Forecast: Democrats Favored To Win Back The Senate

FiveThirtyEight senate

Nate Silver's newly launched forecast gives Democrats the edge.