Featured News

Data Reveals A Moderate Democrat Is The Best Chance To Beat Trump

Last updated on July 18th, 2023 at 11:55 am

The Economist crunched data from various studies and found that a moderate would be the party’s best chance to defeat Donald Trump in November.

Via The Economist:

This research suggests, then, that Mr Biden could perform better than his competitors against Mr Trump. He is more moderate than Mr Sanders, so both more likely to attract swing voters and less likely to motivate Republicans to vote against him. His strength with both black and racially conservative white voters could make a big difference in swing states. Recent polling from the New York Times and Siena College suggests that 6% of the electorate would vote for Mr Biden—but not for Elizabeth Warren—against Mr Trump.

To get more stories like this, subscribe to our newsletter The Daily.

His advantage is evident in polls. According to The Economist’s analysis of publicly released polling data, Mr Biden performs better against Mr Trump than his competitors, nationwide and in swing states. Although polls of the general election conducted this early before a contest are not perfect, they are still helpful.

Mr Biden is not faultless. He is uninspiring on the stump and in debates. His Washington ties may inspire resentment from voters skeptical of elites. His candidacy would also represent a safety-first strategy for the Democrats at a time when many in the party desperately want to push a much more progressive economic, racial and social agenda. Yet for all that he still appears to be the Democrats’ best option in a contest against Mr Trump.

Trump is attacking Biden because he is the Democrat who poses the biggest threat

Joe Biden is the example used in the article, but the same principle applies to all of the moderate Democrat. Trump is extreme. The formula for beating a political extremist isn’t to navigate to the opposite extreme.

Trump has abandoned the political middle, and it would be a foolish mistake for Democrats to believe that they could nominate any of their candidates and beat Trump. If Trump runs against someone on the far left, he will wrap himself in patriotism, and paint his opponent as the extremist.

Election Day turnout will be smaller because people in the middle will stay home instead of choosing between a candidate on the right, and a candidate on the left. A base election helps Trump and the Republican Party.

A moderate can beat Trump with a promise to end the crazy and bring the presidency and the nation back to normal. Beating an incumbent president is difficult, but according to the research, a moderate gives Democrats their best chance to win in 2020.

For more discussion about this story join our Rachel Maddow and MSNBC group.

Follow Jason Easley on Facebook

Recent Posts

Rachel Maddow Explains The Vital Importance Of Trump’s Hush Money Trial

Rachel Maddow dove into Trump's corruption of the DOJ, and how that delayed the New…

30 mins ago

Stephen Colbert Nails Trump With A KKK Joke

Stephen Colbert managed to work a joke about Trump's racism and the KKK into his…

9 hours ago

This Is A Masterful Take Down Of Trump By Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart took down Trump after day one of the hush money trial with a…

9 hours ago

Rachel Maddow Blasts Buffoonish Trump For Falling Asleep In Court

MSNBC's Rachel Maddow blasted Trump and called him "buffoonish" for falling asleep during his criminal…

14 hours ago

Trump To Face Hearing For Potential Gag Order Violations Next Week

Judge Merchan has moved up the hearing for Trump's potential violations of the gag order…

18 hours ago

Tiny Crowd Shows Up To Support Trump At Trial

Although a "couple million" Trump supporters live within an hour of his trial on Monday,…

19 hours ago