Last updated on July 17th, 2023 at 09:21 pm
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Donald Trump’s lead over Hillary Clinton has shrunk from 11 points to 2 points in his running mate Mike Pence’s home state of Indiana.
According to the new Monmouth University of Indiana:
Among Indiana voters likely to cast ballots in November’s presidential election, 45% currently support Trump and 41% back Clinton. Another 9% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 5% are undecided. Trump held a larger 47% to 36% lead in mid-August.
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In poll interviews conducted Tuesday and Wednesday, Trump held a 45% to 38% lead over Clinton. In interviews conducted Thursday evening, after allegations of sexual misconduct by the GOP nominee emerged, Clinton held a narrow edge of 46% to 44% over Trump.
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Just 31% of Indiana voters have a favorable view of Trump with 58% holding an unfavorable opinion of him. His August rating was 33% favorable and 54% unfavorable. Clinton’s rating is similar at 30% favorable and 59% unfavorable, which is slightly better than her 28% favorable and 62% unfavorable rating two months ago. A key differentiating factor, though, is that most Indiana voters (54%) feel Clinton has the right temperament to be president, but only 33% say the same about Trump.
Donald Trump could lose the home state of his running who is also the sitting governor. It really doesn’t get any worse than that in terms of presidential campaign failure. It was a given that Trump was going to lose his home state, but the traditional political wisdom is that nominees pick running mates who will at minimum win their home state.
Mitt Romney used this same logic when he picked Rep. Paul Ryan but lost Wisconsin in 2012. However, the difference between 2012 and 2016 is that Pence may lose in his home state because of Donald Trump. Trump’s slide in Indiana combined with Texas now being within the margin of error suggests that the country is much closer to experiencing a landslide election than they are to a Trump/Pence victory.
Donald Trump is in the process of doing the impossible. He is creating a potential blue wave all across the United States of America.
Jason is the managing editor. He is also a White House Press Pool and a Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association
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