According to a new poll, the Senate confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court is going sink Republicans, not save them.
According to the Politico/Morning Consult Poll:
Kavanaugh’s confirmation is not popular: In the poll, which was conducted after last week’s Senate vote, 46 percent of voters said the Senate “made the wrong decision” in approving the controversial judge, while 40 percent said it was right to elevate him to the high court.
And following the GOP-led effort to push through his nomination, enthusiasm among Democratic voters has surged. More than 3 in 4 Democrats (77 percent) say they are “very motivated” to turn out and vote in the midterms — more than the 68 percent of Republicans who say they’re “very motivated.”
Asked whether it would make them more or less likely to vote for a Senate candidate who supported confirming Kavanaugh, 36 percent of voters say it would make them less likely — more than the 31 percent who would be more likely to vote for a Kavanaugh-supporting Senate candidate. Roughly a third said it would make no difference in their vote (22 percent) or had no opinion (10 percent).
The Republican Kavanaugh Bump Is Gone
It was strongly suspected that the Kavanaugh bump for Republicans was driven the confirmation fight itself, and no motivation to vote in November. I thought that it might take a couple of weeks for the Kavanaugh bump to evaporate in the polls, but it had only taken a few days before new polling showed Democrats returning to their double-digit generic ballot lead.
The Kavanaugh boost was a mirage, but it did reveal a bigger problem for Republicans.
Confirming Kavanaugh Only Made Democrats Angrier
Democrats have been angry since the day after the 2016 presidential election, but Republicans sent their anger into the stratosphere with the way they treated the women who accused Brett Kavanaugh of sexual assault, and the sham Supreme Court nominee confirmation process that they rammed through the Senate.
Confirming Kavanaugh was a massive mistake.
Republican voters lost their motivation for showing up on Election Day, and it made Democrats twice as determined to vote Republicans out of office.
The Kavanaugh confirmation has backfired, and if Democrats win control of the Senate, the GOP decision to shove Brett Kavanaugh onto the Supreme Court will be a big reason why.
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Mr. Easley is the founder/managing editor, who is White House Press Pool, and a Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association