According to the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, President Obama’s approval rating has jumped a net 10 points from 45%/48% to 52%/43% since the Democratic Convention.
Gallup found that President Obama has gone from a net (-1) with a job approval rating of 45% and job disapproval rating of 46% after the Republican convention to a net (+9). Obama’s job approval rating now stands at 52% with his disapproval rating at 43%. In contrast, Mitt Romney saw no bounce in his numbers after the Republican convention. In fact, Romney actually lost a point of support in the head to head match up with the president.
These numbers highlight both how effectively the Democratic Party was able to communicate their message to voters, and what a lackluster effort the Republican convention in Tampa really was. The really bad news for Republicans is twofold. These initial numbers hint that they have not been able to damage Obama’s personal popularity, and that the president’s optimistic message about the future resonates well with voters.
The Republicans have chosen an unlikable candidate who has decided to run an unlikable campaign. The message coming out of Tampa was something akin to we’re doomed and it’s all Obama’s fault. Mitt Romney was never able to give anyone watching or listening a reason why they should vote for him. In contrast, the Democratic convention was about the the Democratic vision for America.
Paul Ryan lectured the nation about the debt, while Joe Biden pointed at the camera and said, “never bet against the American people.” It is obvious which message is going to appeal to voters.
What the Democratic convention did was remind America that Barack Obama is still a man they can feel good about voting for. The vast majority of Americans like personally like this president and they want him to do well. If the Gallup numbers are any indication, they also enjoy hearing about the things that he has done well.
Mitt Romney asked the question are you better off than you were four years ago? After watching the Democratic convention it seems a majority of Americans may now be willing to say that they are. After his convention flopped, the base case scenario for Romney was that he would find himself in the same position that he was before, but now it is entirely possible that the challenger has lost more ground to the president.
The 2012 election is not an easy one, but it looks the Democratic convention may have been another successful step in a hard fought reelection campaign for President Obama.
PoliticusUSA
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j
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 3:52 pm
So Romney says the troops are not important enough to mention in his speech, just like they were not important enough for his sons to become soldiers and fight for the country when he said they had better things to do!
He never mentions the fact that his dad had lots of help when being reared on government welfare!
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Kathy
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 4:02 pm
Um, not difficult? Obama and his party are very user friendly. Totally love Michelle. My problem is………I agree with gay marriage/helping the poor/women’s rights…..but what about balancing the budget? Paying for the “entitlement” probrams that we all know are necessary.
I was hoping that Mr. O would give some specifics. He didn’t. I REALLY like him and would buy him a drink in mu neighborhood bar, but I’m worrying about small businesses. Like my husband’s with less than 50 people. Health insurance (we’re in Mass) is an amazing burden. He is an ethical employer and gives himself a modest salary and in years past, the employees have gotten a bonus….and he hasn’t. What will the coming administration do for him??? Really? I don’t think that either admin willl do much. He’s too small for either of them to take an interest ine. I see small business like this going under… and no one gives a shit…. and publically owned businesses continue to thrive, providing jobs to China.
Wow. I guess I’m voting for Obama………even though he might submarine small business.
TO those who are trying to get the Presidency. Its’ all about compromise. For the good of the nation. Please remember that…..
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Heidi
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 5:16 pm
Hi Kathy,
I agree with your statement. I am a MBA major and Doctorial sutudent. I think that getting into a war in 2003 and going into Afganastan did help us.
Iraq was costing us 10 billion a week and we were paying for it and we giving out defens contracts to such companies as honey well here in kcmo that make weapon parts for the Gov.
We are borrowing againts the surplus that we had from 2000 and when that ran out bush get spending and borrowing from other programs and china to pay for our war and to run the business which was running the country on a daily basis
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Ellen
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 7:23 pm
Heidi,
I’m not sure I’m following your comments at all. You think that the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq helped us?? I see both wars, plus the Bush tax cuts for the very wealthy, as a huge drain on the budget surplus left by Bill Clinton. If you are an MBA and doctoral student, please brush up on your syntax and grammar. If English is your second language, you go girl, and keep studying!
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MJB
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 8:47 pm
@ Ellen who responded to Heidi: I think your response to Heidi was unnecessary and condescending. I think she meant ‘DID NOT”. There was no need to embarrass her!
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robert chapman
Sep. 8th, 2012 at 12:28 pm
I hope that you are right,but if you read the entire letter, you will see that her content is that the war industry thrived in KC and that she is thankful for that.
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Sam
Sep. 8th, 2012 at 12:42 am
Spot on, Ellen. I love your comment.
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robert chapman
Sep. 8th, 2012 at 12:19 pm
Thank you Kathy for your comment and your thoughrfulness.
Your remark “…..but what about balancing the budget? ” caught my attention and requires a response.
I do not speak for the campaign or the administration, but as a citizen concerned about fiscal responsiblity.
I will adress two things, why the deficit has grown to such massive proportions and secondly how we get it back dowm.
Let’s start with the Obama induced increase in the annual federal deficit and admit right at the beginning that the deficit has grown to three times the number attributable to the Bush tax increases.
Very simply, the economy would have contracted by the amount of the federal deficit. That means that without using the poweer of the government to borrow and spend over four trillion dollars of transactions would have been lost over the past four years.
In an economy that generated $60 trillion of transations that does not seem like a lot. But when unemployment has been over 8% for 42 months with a $60 trillion economy, imagine what unemployment would have been like with a $56 trillion economy.
Economists always tell us that the best way to settle a deficit is to grow out of it. If we restore full employment and the signs are hopeful that we will restore full economy over the next term, the Obama generated part of the deficit will disappear.
This will leave us with the $0.5 trillion or so deficit that the Bush tax cuts institutionalize.
We have already taken steps to cut medicare by deleting $735 billion from that program. Governor Romney pledged to restore those cuts.
We need to cut defense. Former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates left a plan to cut pentagon procurement by 15% and reduce our overseas basing commmtments taking $0.4 trillion out of the pentagon budget. Governor Romney has pledged to restore those cuts.
We need to look at tax revenues and raise them by asking the wealthy to pay their fair share instead of nickel and diming the…
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robert chapman
Sep. 8th, 2012 at 12:21 pm
We need to look at tax revenues and raise them by asking the wealthy to pay their fair share instead of nickel and diming the middle class. Governor Romney has pledged to lower tax rates for the highest brackets and has declared those cuts will be kept revenue neutral by eliminating middle class tax deductions.
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Sally
Sep. 9th, 2012 at 9:06 pm
Yes, Romney has said that until today, when he insisted that he will never ever, pinky finger swear, raise taxes on the middle incomes (he never said he wouldn’t embrace Ryan’s call to tax the indigent, however.) And who knows what he’ll say tomorrow. Cutting loopholes for the rich will not cut it. Now if Mitt would make offshoring money into foreign banks illegal, he’d ahve something I’d agree with.
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Kelly
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 4:16 pm
Kathy, not that this answers all your questions, but it may provide some relief to your fears as to how the world of deficit and debt works:
https://personal.vanguard.com/us/insights/article/red-ink-092012
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kathleen harris
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 4:16 pm
I have siad it all along, Romney has no game plan to correct anything. Other than that radical plan to destroy what so many of us have worked for and paid into called Social Security and Medicare. And to eliminate the debt using our money and the money that we pay in taxes for their personal gain.
They have already showed us time and time again. Mony from the stimulus Ryan got of 20 million yet voted for the American worker not to get any…for his famiy run business in WI! Conflict of interest there!
And Mitt took 250 million in bailout to keep Bain Alive after bad business decisions, using our tax money instead of his own funding( which he had). And took 14 million from the FDIC in a squander which we now pay higher fees to pay back.
And Ryan, also, got funds from the govt to fund a Planned Parenthood facility in his district but plans to dismantale Planned Parenthood if elected. Seems that is a waste of taxpayer money and a hypocracy.
Also, states that he will repeal Obamacare, yet has aggressively tried to secure funds under Obamacare to build a health Dept in his District. Now, which is it Ryan…you are either for it or against it. You can not be on both sides of the fence!
These two will take our money if elected and use it to improve their own personal goals, just like they have been doing! Romney should have used his own funding, NOT TAXPAYER DOLLARS, to keep Bain alive! He has the money! Why use ours when the country was such a state of affairs?
And Ryan, securing stimulus funds to banroll his family business..that should have been illegal!
And too, Mitt buying Companies, then borrowing against and taking the money out of them and paying his investors, then filing and backrupting them. Should the money removed from the company have had to be paid back in the bankruptsy court?
All along, Mitt left many without thier jobs, without healthcare, took thier retirement funds. He had no consieration for the American worker.
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Barry Roope
Sep. 8th, 2012 at 1:04 pm
Great post!
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Sally
Sep. 9th, 2012 at 9:07 pm
And don’t forget his great Olympic success, which cost US $625,000 per athlete, one and a half BILLION. Wat to call in favors, Mittens.
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Heidi
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 5:27 pm
My problem with Mr. Romney is that he said in his statment “I want to help you and your family”, but its hard to belive that when dating back to 1994 there is plenty of news video not Youtube video and op-ed’s showing that Mr. Romenys opinion changes with whatever office he is running for.
He is not what his parents were who while Republicans, they were moderate Republicans and had social concience but not Mr. Romeny.
I believed that Mr. Obama when he said the election in 2008 wasnt about “me” it was “about you”.
Yes we only had 96,000 jobs for the month of august, but we have included over 4.5 million jobs for 30 months. There are 3 millon jobs waiting to be filled, but at least 80-85% of the what 22 mil who are out of work can’t apply for those jobs becasue they don’t have higher education.
So Republicans wants to take away the Pell Grant, The Subdsides Student Loan, The Perskins Loan where the average student will lose $11,5000 a year in student aid. How can you say I will create 12 mill new jobs, that most economist say will happen regadless of who is in office.
So how will you fill those jobs if our nation isn’t educated and ready to apply for them?
You can’t take aways a person God Given right to eduation, healthcare, good jobs, homes that are affordable.
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DanO
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 5:28 pm
Kathy, while the deficit seems really scary, it’s important to realize there are two numbers in the equation. The republicans only focus on the debt side in their rhetoric and only trim the credit side in their actions. During recessions, the deficit will grow and that’s okay. The only way the government can truly expand the economy is to spend and Obama did speak to that in building our nation at home. When the government spends on construction, that’s more people that go out and spend on other things and thus demand increases all around. The failed trickle-down policies of the Republicans don’t work because very little actually trickle’s down. Companies don’t hire more people because they have more money, they hire more people because they have demand. Republican’s policies don’t create demand.
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Shiva (Moderator)
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 5:40 pm
The GOP has went negative since their primaries. Hate and division against Obama. Lie after lie.
But the money they are spending may yet pay off. The most important thing to them and us is taking back the house and senate.
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MGarr
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 6:01 pm
Great scene in the movie American President,
“This is a time for serious people, Bob, and your fifteen minutes are up. My name is Andrew Shepherd, and I *am* the President.”
Last night President Obama declared,
“I *am* the president.”
And put Mr. Romney on notice:
Mr. Romney, your fifteen minutes are up.
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Connie Ehrke
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 7:52 pm
Love all the comments! OBAMA/BIDEN 2012!!!!!
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truthnow
Sep. 8th, 2012 at 1:30 pm
Several high-profile former supporters of President Barack Obama in 2008 announced on Thursday they have now switched to Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan.
The group launched a petition online on the day Obama addressed the Democratic National Convention, hammering home the point that Obama let down many Democrats and independents who believed in his rhetoric of hope and change in 2008.
Former NBA and UNLV Runnin’ Rebel basketball player Greg Anthony and former Democratic Congressman Artur Davis join Ashley Bell, Hall County Commissioner, Jane Edmonds, former Massachusetts Secretary of Workforce Development, and Barney Bishop, Former Executive Director of the Florida Democratic Party, on the national leadership team.
“I am proud to have these Democrats and former Obama supporters with me as I work to restore this country to prosperity,” Mitt Romney said in a statement. “I hope that every American, regardless of party affiliation, will join us in that effort.”
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Chris
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 10:44 pm
I am just an outsider looking in and I can not believe the extreme views of the Republicans! I was raised to believe that you need to take care of each other in times of hardship, America is suffering hardship!…..so why would the Republicans announce with such vigor that the only thing that concerns them is getting President Obama out of Office. What happened to the economic downturn, the unemployment, the Deficit, the Education problems that have to be addressed and fixed? America – if you vote for the Repubican Party then – I hate to say it – then you deserve what you voted for!
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SUNNY
Sep. 7th, 2012 at 10:56 pm
Kathy – go to Obamas official website. All policies are outlined in DETAIL there and do support small business
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bottomhouse
Sep. 8th, 2012 at 4:15 am
The incredulous part of the Republican campaign is the ppl that listen to and actually believes the Tall Tales they tell :-) :-)
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truthnow
Sep. 8th, 2012 at 1:15 pm
But in 2004, the president told the Chicago Sun-Times that he wasn’t present during his mother’s final days at all.
http://visiontoamerica.com/12078/obama-lies-about-mother-to-promote-obamacare/
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robert chapman
Sep. 8th, 2012 at 12:02 pm
Dear fellow readers, when you get the chance go to the Real Clear Politics website and look at the comparable polls for this date from 2004 and 2008.
At this time, it is clearly better to be President Obama than Governor Romney, but the 2012 campaign is far from over.
There remain a large number of swing states, with Obama leading in important Ohio by only 7/10 of a percentage point.
The electoral college votes of Ohio, which are essential to Governor Romney will most likely be determined by voter turnout. That means if Democratic field organizers do a better job than their Republican counterparts Obama will likely win Ohio and almost certainly deny Romney an electoral college win.
Funding for the Democratic field offices in Ohio is a critical priority. Donations to OFA, Obama’s campaign arm, therefore, are also critical.
High numbers favoring Obama in the popular vote will strengthen the President’s position in bargaining with the new Congress. Calling and door bell ringing for the President now is also critically important. Obama beat McCain by ten million votes, one would like to beat Romney by seven or eight million, at least.
The organizing work that we do will also increase the number of Democratic and progressive members that will take office with 112th Congress.
Stronger progressive presence in the Congress will help assure the furtherance of progressive values and legislative initiatives for the second term.
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Eddie Powell
Sep. 8th, 2012 at 5:18 pm
Like all the posts.. For one of those that would most likely profit from a Mittie presidency shutters at the fact that he has made it this far. This election has become a very moral issue for me. It was Pell and other grants that got me al 4 of my degrees. it would be very immoral of me to be selfish and look at my profit margin and forget those that do not have and those that are trying to have the same. We are that country that Mr. O was talking about. “WE THE PEOPLE” is a moral imperative that we should all stand and fight for through our vote. We veterans fought, some died, for that right of all to say, and say proudly…. “WE THE PEOPLE OF THESE UNITED STATES…. TO FORM A MORE PERFECT UNION”. These statements mean a lot to me and I have no room for the backward thinking of Mr. Mitte and his perceived union….
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Gary Vaughn
Sep. 9th, 2012 at 1:11 am
I noticed one troll talked about people like Artur Davis and some other unknowns like former Running Rebel cheat, yeah they cheated under the Shark, have started a democrats for Mitt. I suppose concern troll hasn’t seen the 3 different sites of disgruntled moderates and conservatives that have left the republican party and are campaigning for Barack. They see their miniscule 4 people but fail to see the thousands leaving.
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Kent the Roofer
Sep. 10th, 2012 at 7:35 am
The only way we are going to heal our economy is for companies to start hiring again.
When Obama was elected, my employer (extreme right wing bible thumper) was so pissed off he laid off all of his American employees who supported Obama–including me.
When I renewed my homeowners insurance three months ago, the owner of the company started bitching about Obama before I had even sat down. He admitted that he desperately needed another employee, but was not hiring anyone until Obama is out of office. He claimed that ACA was going to bankrupt his company.
I used to repair roofs in a gated CITY (yes–an entire gated CITY!) in NC called St. James (pure white). Almost all of the contractors who built the houses are bankrupt. They used illegal immigrant labor to build them. The houses are huge overpriced crap. I have repaired more new roofs than anywhere else in my 29 years of roofing.
Almost without exception, the house wife would come out the door bitching about President Obama. When I would go inside to locate the leak in the roof, every TV in the house was on Fox News.
When I would ask why they didn’t like Obama, first it was his policies. When they couldn’t explain which ones, next he is a socialist. When I pointed out that the US is a socialist nation, it finally came out–because he is black.
White America hates President Obama because he is not pure White. That is the bottom line.
I worked on a multi million dollar condo project on Oak Island last year. The three owners are a Banker, an Insurance Company owner from New Jersey and a contractor from New York.
I was prohibited from hiring any people of color to work on the project. I quit. And I got screwed out of $16,000.
When rich racist ass holes like this claim to have gotten their money through hard work–they mean someone else’s.
If Obama keeps up the employment numbers, in two more years we will have recovered all of our lost jobs.
Obama 2012!
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clarence swinney
Sep. 10th, 2012 at 11:49 am
CLINTON TEACHES OBAMA–he got me as a supporter in 1991–3 speeches at Georgetown were fabulous.
Then awesome to put campaign promises in a book “Putting People First”—I listed his promises.58. He took action on all but two in fiirst two years. Thus-Had second best record for getting legislation passed in first two years. Read my post on his record. I have challenged Limbaugh-Hannity-OReilly-RNC, etc to show a better record. No takers.
In third year R had Congress. Got 27% passed= lowest record.
Clinton had a life study of Governance. He was/is expert.
Wm F Buckeley said: “Clinton ate the Republicans cake on the budget”
He knows Obama inherited a Disaster not just a mess.
Henry Hyde who led House Impeachment said:”If Clinton had not messed with Monica
he would go into history books as one of all time greats.”
Inherited:
Two wars-92% increase in spending-112% increase in debt–lowest job creation since Hoover
Great Recession–Housing and Banking disasters–what else?
MESS=DISASTER=LONG RECOVERY
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clarence swinney
Sep. 10th, 2012 at 11:51 am
READ THE —GREATEST—RECORD PROVE ME WRONG
CLINTON PRAISE-WITH PLEASURE
GDP–rose from 6300 to 11,600
NATIONAL INCOME-5,000 to 8,000 Billion–took 20 years to grow 2500B before Clinton
JOBS CREATED–over 22 million–record by far
AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS–$360 to $478
AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS WORKED–never hit 35.0–hit that mark 4 times in 80′s
UNEMPLOYMENT–from 7.2% down down down to 3.9%
WELFARE TO WORK—11,533,710 on federal roll in 1996 and 3,880,321 in 2007.
MINIMUM WAGE–$4.25 to $5.15
MINORITIES–did exceedingly well
HOME OWNERSHIP–hit all time high
DEFICIT–290 Billion to whoopee a SURPLUS
DEBT—-+28%—300% increase over prior12 years
FEDERAL SPENDING–+28%—80% under Reagan- who da true conservative?
DOW JONES AVERAGE–3,500 to 11,800 all it’s history to get to 3500 and Clinton zooms it
NASDAQ–700 to 5,000—all of it’s history to get to 700 and Clinton zooms it
VALUES INDEXES– almost all bad went down–good went up in zoom zoom zoom
FOREIGN AFFAIRS–Peace on Earth good will toward each other—Mark of a true Christian–what has Bush done to Peace on Earth?
POPULARITY—highest poll ratings in history during peacetime in AFRICA, ASIA AND EUROPE even 98.5% in Moscow–left office with highest gallup rating since it was started in 1920′s.
STAND UP FOR JUSTICE–evil conservatives spent $110,000,000 on hearings and investigations and caught— ONE— very evil man who took a few plane rides to events.
BOW YOUR HEADS–Thank you God for sending us a man of Bill Clinton’s character, intelligence, knowledge of governance, ability to face up to crises without whimpering and a great leader of the world.
THANK YOU GOD FOR THE GOOD TIMES THE CLINTON YEARS.
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clennis05
Sep. 13th, 2012 at 8:00 am
This forum has some the most knowledgable folk on the net. I’ve got my suspicions that Mitt has his fingers crossed behind his back every time he makes a statement to the American people. This guy walks funny, is an excellent liar and can’t be trusted. What a dangerous turd. I do however, have one question that stays on my mind. Who are these people that support this sack of emptiness? I can’t support someone of such deception that Willard so proudly displays to the public.
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