Critical Pennsylvania swing voters who voted for Trump in 2016 are moving back to the Democrats due to the impeachment investigation.
“Things have changed in the last couple weeks: More stupidity has come out,’’ Mr. Graham, 69, said in a telephone interview last week. He hopes Democrats nominate former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., but he is not particular. “I’d vote for the Democratic nominee no matter who it is at this point,” he said. “If Mr. Trump gets into another four years, where he’s a lame duck, it’s going to be like adding gasoline to the fire.”
In interviews in Erie last month, before the impeachment inquiry began, many of the Trump voters from 2016 were either supportive of the president or unpersuaded by the Democratic alternatives. But reached by phone after the inquiry was announced, some of these voters had changed their minds. Outright conversions like Mr. Graham’s, while still rare, were reflected in an uptick of support for impeachment by independent voters in recent national polls.
Trump’s margin for error is non-existent. Trump won Michigan by 10,704 votes, Pennsylvania by 46,765 votes, and Wisconsin by 22, 177. There were 6.7 million voters who voted for Obama and then voted for Trump. If the impeachment investigation convinces 23,000 previous Obama voters to vote for the Democratic nominee, Trump loses Pennsylvania.
Impeachment isn’t backfiring on Democrats in key swing states like Pennsylvania due to the fact that Trump is unpopular. The president is also guilty.
Trump isn’t Bill Clinton. There is nearly twice as much support for impeaching Trump than there was for impeaching Clinton.
Impeachment is turning critical voters in a key state against Trump, as the potential end of the Trump presidency is drawing near.
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Mr. Easley is the founder/managing editor and Senior White House and Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA.Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association