Independent Study Finds That Every Republican Prediction About Obamacare Was Wrong

John Boehner, Mitch McConnell

It’s like Republicans are cursed by facts these days.

Just days after House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) went on Meet the Press to fearmonger about Obamacare, yet another study came along to sock it to his desperate Obamacare claims. An independent health policy research program study released Wednesday showed all of his predictions about Obamacare were wrong. Way wrong. Wrong on every single fearmongering prediction and claim they made.

Under Obamacare, nearly 17 million have gotten insurance coverage since the fall of 2013. Seventeen MILLION.

The Rand analysis of their study revealed the facts:

Insurance coverage has increased across all types of insurance since the major provisions of the federal Affordable Care Act took effect, with a total of 16.9 million people becoming newly enrolled through February 2015, according to a new RAND Corporation study.

Researchers estimate that from September 2013 to February 2015, 22.8 million Americans became newly insured and 5.9 million lost coverage, for a net of 16.9 million newly insured Americans.

Republicans are running on taking that insurance away?

Republicans like to claim that it’s all Medicaid expansion. Survey says, wrong again.

Among those newly gaining coverage, 9.6 million people enrolled in employer-sponsored health plans, followed by Medicaid (6.5 million), the individual marketplaces (4.1 million), nonmarketplace individual plans (1.2 million) and other insurance sources (1.5 million).

And remember how Republicans sounded the hysteria alarms that Obama was ruining their insurance and nobody would get to keep their insurance?

The study also estimates that 125.2 million Americans — about 80 percent of the nonelderly population that had insurance in September 2013 — experienced no change in the source of insurance during the period, according to findings published online by the journal Health Affairs.

Republicans said Obamacare would cause private employers to stop offering insurance. Survey says, wrong again:

RAND researchers say the findings that the biggest gain in coverage was from employer-sponsored insurance runs counter to predictions that many employers may quit offering insurance in response to the Affordable Care Act and suggests that regardless of whether that occurs, employer-sponsored coverage will remain the nation’s major source of health insurance coverage.

On Sunday, this happened:

Chuck Todd confronted Boehner about his wrong Obamacare predictions that fewer people would have health care under the ACA and that Obamacare would kill jobs.

Boehner replied, “Obamacare made it harder for employers to hire people. The economy expands and as a result you’re going to have more employees because businesses have to. But you can ask any employer in America and ask them if Obamacare has made it harder to hire employees because it’s a fact. Um, yeah. Do you know why there’re more people insured? Because a lot more people are on Medicaid, and you know giving people Medicaid insurance is almost like giving them nothing. Because there aren’t, you can’t find a doctor that will see Medicaid patients, and so where do they end up? In the same place, they used to end up, in the emergency room.”

We already debunked the Speaker’s first point about Obamacare killing jobs. This is not happening. The only people killing jobs are Republicans, due to the sequester and their refusal to pass any jobs legislation.

A poll by the National Association of Business Economics (NABE) that surveyed four sectors of the economy found that seventy-five percent of business owners said that the ACA has not impacted their hiring practices. An additional 85% said that they didn’t expect the ACA to impact their hiring practices in the future.

In fact, President Obama has set a record for the longest stretch of private sector job growth of any modern president. So much nope. The public sector is suffering job losses due to the Republican sequester but also due to state Republicans slashing funds.

None of the predictions and claims Republicans — and indeed our media — ran with for years have come true. A “glitch” did not stop 17 million people from getting coverage.

The air leaking out of the GOP’s ACA lies balloon, and the Republican Party is in for a rough landing if they continue to insist on repealing Obamacare.

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30 Replies to “Independent Study Finds That Every Republican Prediction About Obamacare Was Wrong”

  1. Our local paper had an article this week with false claim that ER visits have increased by 50% because the ACA is not working. The research is dubious at best and the narratives are completely false seeing as how the number of ER visits that are COVERED by insurance BECAUSE of the ACA have risen but the story NEVER gives that Fact.

  2. We are living in scary times! Our news outlets are owned by the very men who have raped this country of wealth, tolerance, and compassion. They pander to bigotry for profit. They use religion like a weapon against the middle and low classes. I do not believe for one second that any of the right wing jokes truly believe in God! If they did, they would be in a church praying for forgiveness for all they have done to consistently hurt the poor, lie about and obstruct healthcare reform to help the masses, sending out our brave soldiers to fight in an unjust war. Remember this; You true Christians out there (I am one also) Judge a politician by what he does, not what he says. The Repubs only help the rich and constantly hurt the poor. That is opposite of “God’s way!”

  3. Failed Prediction #1: Americans won’t enroll in the ACA
    Failed Prediction #2: The ACA won’t meet its enrollment goals
    Failed Prediction #3: Insurers will want no part of the ACA system
    Failed Prediction #4: The economy will suffer terribly because of ‘Obamacare’
    Failed Prediction #5: Even if Americans enrolled, they won’t pay their premiums
    Failed Prediction #6: Even if people pay their premiums, the flawed ACA structure will send premiums soaring
    Failed Prediction #7: The ACA won’t reduce the uninsured rate because it will only help those who already have coverage
    Failed Prediction #8: The ACA will lead to a “net loss” on overall coverage
    Failed Prediction #9: The ACA will lead to higher deficits and a weaker fiscal footing for the nation
    Failed Prediction #10: Americans will end up hating the coverage they receive through the ACA
    That’s a whole lot of fail

  4. Do Republicans/Conservatives ever get tired of being wrong?

    Obviously not.

    Reality, once again, proven to have a liberal bias.

  5. “Do Republicans/Conservatives ever get tired of being wrong?”

    As long as we got democrats who scared to stand up and fight for recognition of their achievements, who run against it and away from Pres. Obama (2014 mid-term election).
    The decon-hicks (repubs) are going to milk it for all its worth. And it paying big dividends..

  6. Repubs don’t care about being wrong. As long as they can dupe their ignorant base that’s all they care about. They should be ashamed at all the lies they put up, but they don’t care. Whatever works is where they are coming from.

  7. Like that’s a surprise! See, Repugs knew all along that it was good for America, and _their_ idea fuhcrisakes; it just made Obama look good. The quality of life for millions of Americans and the enrichment of the insurance industry is not as good as a baseless Obama bash.

  8. Yes, the Republicans are on the wrong side of history on this OBAMACARE. They will always be remembered to have tried to make it fail. In the future…REPUBLICANS will be signing up, hush-hush. Because they won’t sign up and say: I am a Republican, give me some Obamacare now.

  9. In states (blue mostly but some red who aren’t totally nuts) where Medicaid expansion was accepted ER visits have gone way down and Medicaid paid for ER visits that in the past would have been bad debts. Hospitals that would have closed are thriving. In states where Medicaid expansion was not accepted hospitals have closed for financial reasons. Boehner’s lying through his teeth when he said you can’t find a doctor that will accept Medicaid, or Medicare for that matter. The ACA has saved tens of thousands of lives.

  10. Despite considerable attention to the recent slowdown in health spending growth, there has been little focus on how this slowdown has changed future spending projections. This paper examines the national health spending projections from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and explores how those projections have changed over time. Current projections suggest that national health expenditures will be $2.5 trillion less over the 2014-2019 period than under the original Affordable Care Act (ACA) forecast from September 2010. We describe some of the factors that have contributed to the declining projections and consider the extent to which the ACA has played a role.
    http://webarchive.urban.org/publications/2000176.html

  11. Proof in the pudding that Republican = FAIL.

    And their supporters are a bunch of FAILURES, too.

    It’s good to be a Democrat.

  12. considering the only thing the biblical god cares about is belief so as long as they believe they get a free pass despite their actions so hilter is in heaven or going to be due to that cause his entire justification for doing what he did in the holocaust was due to his belief in the creator god of the bible.

  13. So, what about the 5.9 million? They probably don’t like being collateral damage here. (In fact, the prospect of being one of these people was always one of the prime factors behind opposition to health care funding reform in the first place.)

  14. He doesn’t have one, and most likely thinks he doesn’t need one because he either heard someone on Fox say it, or he heard one of the RW radio entertainers say it, or he read it on a RW blog. Never mind that these individuals have nothing in common with average Americans like Jeff and use them to push their own agendas. All they have to do to get individuals like him on board to support any issue is to inject fear into the matter. They have been in their homes for almost seven years waiting for Pres. Obama to knock on their doors and demand their guns. They get on my last nerve because they always fail to do any thinking of their own, and I think the reason is that it’s difficult for them to understand complex issues. GOP/TP politicians understand this. It’s why they reduce very complicated issues to memes which include five or fewer words. Remember, “You didn’t build this?” Short, and very inaccurate, but the GOP/TPers ate it up, just like they did “death panels.” SMDH.

  15. This is a totally biased article. Whenever you hear…everything the GOP says is a lie…then the most likely liar is the speaker or writer of the statement.

  16. You people sure do have cognitive dissonance. Even when you idiots are quoted you claim its a lie. The Google does not lie.

  17. Sometimes when you baggers make a claim it would help if you provide a link but you never do. I wonder why? Maybe you just pull it out your ass like your dingleberries

    RAND Corporation is a nonprofit global policy think tank originally formed by Douglas Aircraft Company to offer research and analysis to the United States Armed Forces.

  18. umm… this very article? Their study is making the claim of the 5.9 million losing their insurance.

    Moreover – they tell you that 80% of already ensured experienced no change in SOURCE of their insurance. Notice that they specify source. Why? Because while source of their insurance didn’t change? Their premiums got higher. Even my ultra liberal friends grumbled about their insurance being more expensive after ACA. They just accept it becasue – for the good of the people! How many people registered for insurance in 2015 because penalties are going up every year you don’t have one, and whether they have insurance or not, they end up paying high fees so might as well have it. Even if they cannot afford to use it due to high deductible. How many companies are providing insurance becasue they cannot fire enough people to be under 50 workers limit and continue to function. How many of those company provided plans are the kind I used to have and couldn’t afford to use?

  19. Researchers estimate that from September 2013 to February 2015, 22.8 million Americans became newly insured and 5.9 million lost coverage, for a net of 16.9 million newly insured Americans.

    According to you people on the right not everyone wins in your world. So you would take away insurance from 17 million so 6 million could keep their crappy coverage. Since there was no crosstabs you don’t know how many of those people could have been insured but living in backwater republican states their government refused to implement the reforms.

    Obamacare Isn’t Driving Up Health Costs. Really.
    http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-12-02/obamacare-isnt-driving-up-health-costs-really
    Start with the basics. On average, the cost of employer-sponsored health insurance increased 26 percent from 2009 to 2014. But costs increased faster before the law was enacted: From 2004 to 2009, costs increased 34 percent. From 1999 to 2004, they went up 72 percent.

    Those are averages; are premiums rising faster for small employers? Actually, the opposite is true. For companies with 200 workers or more, average 2014 premiums were $17,265, or 3.3 percent higher than in 2013. At companies with 3 to 199 workers, annual premiums in 2014 averaged $15,849 — 1.7 percent more than in 2013, when average premiums were 2.2 percent higher than in 2012

    As for your ultra liberal friends, would they fall into your category of your imaginary one black friend?

  20. a big old dose of facts.
    Failed Prediction #1: Americans won’t enroll in the ACA
    Failed Prediction #2: The ACA won’t meet its enrollment goals
    Failed Prediction #3: Insurers will want no part of the ACA system
    Failed Prediction #4: The economy will suffer terribly because of ‘Obamacare’
    Failed Prediction #5: Even if Americans enrolled, they won’t pay their premiums
    Failed Prediction #6: Even if people pay their premiums, the flawed ACA structure will send premiums soaring
    Failed Prediction #7: The ACA won’t reduce the uninsured rate because it will only help those who already have coverage
    Failed Prediction #8: The ACA will lead to a “net loss” on overall coverage
    Failed Prediction #9: The ACA will lead to higher deficits and a weaker fiscal footing for the nation
    Failed Prediction #10: Americans will end up hating the coverage they receive through the ACA
    That’s a whole lot of fail

  21. If a company is large enough to require 50 workers to function and can’t afford to insure those workers, then their business model is way off and it should cease to be. I thought conservatives were all about survival of the fittest?

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