Republican Map Shrinking As Hillary Clinton Puts Red State Arizona In Play

hillary clinton

A Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey released on May 6th finds Hillary Clinton is competitive in the traditional red state of Arizona. The poll tested Hillary Clinton against nine GOP candidates. In each hypothetical contest, Clinton was competitive, with her range varying from a 3-point lead (44-41) over Texas Governor Rick Perry to a 7-point deficit against New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (46-39).

Given Chris Christie’s poor showing in other recent polls conducted in other states, he seems unlikely to secure the GOP nomination. Clinton is evenly matched against the two most likely Republican candidates, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker. Clinton trailed Walker in the poll 44-43. She managed a 41-41 tie against Jeb Bush.

A Democratic presidential candidate has not carried Arizona since 1996, when Bill Clinton defeated Bob Dole in the state by a narrow 46.5 to 44.3 percent margin, with Independent Ross Perot picking up 8 percent of the vote. Barack Obama lost the state by over 8 percentage points in both 2008 and 2012.

Arizona’s red tilt makes it a difficult state for Democrats to target, but Hillary Clinton has the potential to put Republicans on the defensive in the Grand Canyon State. If the Clinton campaign can expand the competitive playing field into Arizona, she could conceivably force the GOP to divert resources away from other swing states to shore up their position in the traditionally Republican stronghold.

Whichever Republican becomes the GOP candidate for President, will also have to overcome any damage to the party brand, created by Arizona’s duplicitous Governor Doug Ducey and the states Tea Party flavored legislature. Arizona Republicans have passed a budget that contained savage cuts to education and Medicaid, creating the potential for an anti-GOP backlash up and down the ticket, in a high-turnout presidential election.

While it is too early to gauge whether Arizona will remain competitive by November of next year, Hillary Clinton is in a strong position to put the state in play. If Arizona Republicans continue to mismanage the state budget, Hillary will be poised to capitalize on their failure. She can easily paint her presidential opponent as a Republican who plays for the same team as Arizona ‘s budget slashing Governor Doug Ducey. If she does that successfully, she would be the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry the state, since her husband accomplished the feat in 1996.

95 Replies to “Republican Map Shrinking As Hillary Clinton Puts Red State Arizona In Play”

  1. Here’s my prediction for 2016 election. Hillary will turn several Red states Blue including AZ. People will get tired of GOP lies and lack of interest in fixing America’s problems. Their tactics are to attack Hillary non-stop and keep minorities from voting.

  2. The 50 State strategy is good for the down ticket dems even in impossible to win states. If I was a dem in a state that was Ruby Red, i’d still want an office to volunteer for and a visit from my candidate.

    Nothing for granted, a work horse.

  3. She had 18 million votes in the primary last time. She had more votes than any other candidate in history. ANY other.

    She had more primary votes than any person in the US.

    I can’t wait till she starts the razzle dazzle. She’s taking her sweet time.

  4. John McCain is running for Senate and is in huge trouble from Democrats and the Tea Party. If we can get a robust Democratic candidate for his seat in the Senate, he could lose the seat and Hillary could win on the Democratic coattails.

  5. Don’t worry. Hillary will start the razzle-dazzle soon enough. She just needs a few more months to siphon campaign money from the Clinton Foundations/Slush Fund. By this time next year she’ll have a couple of Billion dollars to razzle-dazzle everybody.

  6. No good deed goes unpunished. Go look at the financial records and the 88% that goes to charity with the balance to operating.

    The transparent records for all the charity money is on the site for you to see.

    You are a liar. And shame on you.

    She gets lots of donations the legitimate way, she doesn’t have to cheat.

    Who are you supporting? How many people have they helped in the world besides themselves? How many elephants did they save? Rivers? Water supplies? How many diseases did they cure? People fed? etc. etc. Billions of people are thankful for Bill Clinton.

  7. The amount of money from that slus… I mean foundation that actually buys food, medicine and such that helps people is 8-12%. All the rest is “overhead, staff wages,” and on and on. Their tax records were transparent enough that they were caught mis-reporting how the contributions were used. They had to go back and “fix” five years of improperly filed tax returns. I wish the IRS were that lenient with citizens…

  8. If Americans were sane every red state would be in play. But the stupid runs deep in rural red states.
    Disclaimer: I did not call all white people stupid

  9. You want me to go to the foundation web site for proof they’ve spent the money properly? Are you mad? What are they going to do, admit it? It’s like showing me Al Capone was a good guy by referring me to his web site.

  10. Fox News senior correspondent Eric Shawn recently reported the 10 percent figure used by Clinton critics “sounds really bad but it’s actually incredibly misleading.” He explained that the way the charity works is they “don’t give grants to other charities. They do most of it themselves.” He cited IRS figures stating the foundation has a “rate of spending of about 80 percent” and “experts for charity say that’s very good. That usually you want a charity to give about 80 percent.” (Despite Shawn’s reporting, his Fox News colleagues have repeatedly pushed the statistic.)

  11. Tell you what: I’ll go google this for awhile and I’ll tell you what I find. If I’m wrong, I’ll say so.

  12. Fox got hit with 50 reports that it was true and had to finally admit they were not doing the math right.

    The way the Foundation is set up is the money never even gets to them – it goes from the major donors to the projects handled by other outside companies in many cases, and things like that.

    Fox now says 80% but I will go with the Foundation official statement from auditors who said 88% – and they got high ratings from charity rating companies.

  13. I bet you also believe she murdered Vince Foster, they were running cocaine from the Mena airport and the reason Bill lost so much weight he stop eating little children

  14. Fine, go to FOX, they had to admit they were WRONG. Smears do not work. She gets stronger the more you lie.

    People don’t like your filthy lies. Keep it up! Helps Hillary.

  15. Well you know the Reich is so used to people they support grifting money from them they just cant believe that everyone is not the low life greedy motherfukers that they admire

  16. Ok, I read the FOX report. The Foundation gives 10% of their money to other charities and 80% they “do themselves.”


    Who bells the cat? Who oversees the spending of this 80% ? If they put on their records they spent X amount of money on “life-changing work” who vets that, other than the Foundation? That’s perfect Clinton. Not transparent, kept in-house, hard to find what’s going on other than to take their word for it. I think it stinks.

  17. oh and robert, get new talking points. Those have been debunked. They did change the IRS filing for a few years, look it up. NO money was involved. Every dime was right. It was a matter of putting foreign on one line separately from other items. Their accounting team made a “clerical” mistake in one detail of the humongous organization.

  18. Robert, no offense. You are a waste of space and a drain. Go have a nice day.

    Your trolling isn’t going to change the tsunami of voters against you. Unless you get paid for your posts and really need the two bucks. Then carry on.

    Hillary 16 in the RED STATES. WOO HOO.

  19. I think Georgia can be in play. Even though President Obama lost it by 7 points I wonder how many rural whites would vote for her because she can relate to them?

    Bill did win there in 92 and the demographics have changed.

  20. Stick to your guns Robert. This is what we do know: Charity Navigators say “We don’t evaluate the Bill, Hillary and Chelsea Foundation as we have determined this charity has an atypical business model that cannot be accurately captured in our current rating methodology”. Atypical ? Really? Ya think the Clinton’s would run their Foundation according to rigorous requirements for this type of org? Don’t count on it !
    Five years of tax return for the Clinton Global Init. suddenly being redone ! Why all of a sudden?
    ExxonMobil abandons Foundation. Why?
    There’s plenty of anecdotal evidence of quid pro quo-see Wikipedia and other reports.
    But Dems will say “move on, nothing the see here”.
    djchefron doesn’t know what he doesn’t know.
    He curses even moderates and other liberals. Even his mother probably does not like him !

  21. jimmy, you left out the part at charity navigators about how all the BUSH ADMIN people were working for the foundation.

    It is bipartisan. It is run clean as a bell. The book and all your bullshit was debunked.

    And how lovely of you to attack a charity just like Robert. You two change shifts? How much does the propaganda business pay? Do the Koch’s pay you directly or do you get your talking points from the Bush family?

    Figures you guys show up when the subject is Hillary winning RED STATES. They make you distract. This is going to get old but we can do this as long as you do.

    Have a nice night. Say hello to Robert for me when he relieves you for his shift.

  22. I know you are a dumbass and I am not here for you to like me. You post bullshit I will call you out. Nut you are right my mother doesn’t like me but she loves the shit out of me.
    Image and video hosting by TinyPic

    : Charity Navigators say “We don’t evaluate the Bill, Hillary and Chelsea Foundation
    Riddle me this dumbass if they don’t evaluate them then how the fuk are they relevant?

  23. So long as the Republicans keep churning out ‘Birth-Control’ Poster Children for Presidential Candidates- Hillary should be a shoe in for Arizona.

    Because after all, her birthplace well known enough that even Arpaio can’t deny.

  24. What does it mean that this organization isn’t rated?

    It simply means that the organization doesn’t meet our criteria. A lack of a rating does not indicate a positive or negative assessment by Charity Navigator.
    KA-POW Next

  25. It is atypical because it is in countless villages in need of help all over the world. The thing the Foundation is most like is The Peace Corp. Celebrities and philanthropists as well as business and global leaders have always been a part of this organization. They know all about it.

  26. My best strategy for Hillary to turn Arizona blue: Under no circumstances actually go there and give a speech or anything. Don’t speak with the locals; use your own people as you have done so far.

  27. Am I a troll? I like to debate politics; it helps to keep me sure of my values. I found this site a few weeks ago and I thought it would be fun to debate and give the “other side” of the argument. Especially since this site struck me as very left-leaning in its interpretation of the news. What I didn’t expect was the vitriol and the name calling. I really can’t believe I’m going to change anyone’s vote by my arguments. Should I just go away? What fun would that be? Yeah, I guess I am a troll.

  28. Why argue and try to reason with STUPIDITY…(RETARD REPUBS)….!!!!!!!????….Just Ignore the mother/fuckers and hopefully….gleefully they will SINK INTO UTTER OBLIVION….!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  29. This is what you attack, you are scum.

    Because of our work, more than 27,000 American schools are providing kids with healthy food choices in an effort to eradicate childhood obesity; more than 85,000 farmers in Malawi, Rwanda, and Tanzania are benefiting from climate-smart agronomic training, higher yields, and increased market access; more than 33,500 tons of greenhouse gas emissions are being reduced annually across the United States; over 350,000 people have been impacted through market opportunities created by social enterprises in Latin America, the Caribbean, and South Asia; through the independent Clinton Health Access Initiative, 9.9 million people in more than 70 countries have access to CHAI-negotiated prices for HIV/AIDS medications; 75 million people are benefiting from disease prevention efforts and investments in the U.S.; and members of the Clinton Global Initiative community have made nearly 3,200 Commitments to Action, which have improved the lives of over 430 mill…

  30. I am a life long member of Greenpeace. Go for it. The denial is going to fun. I am a naturalist and world traveller. Go ahead, make my day.

  31. Not on this thread. Let’s wait until we get a climate change article and then we shall have at it.

  32. I am sure on this liberal board you want to talk about how republicans don’t do a thing about it. And I can start showing what democrats have done.

  33. When one wants to debate they should come with facts. Yes I will attack and call people dumbasses but I back my shit up with links. You just come with right wing talking points. You want honest debates then be honest and when you come into someone’s house and take a shit be sure to have your toilet paper to cover your ass

  34. These guys would just be somewhere else doing this and spewing filth about dems because they get paid to do it.

    He’d move to the next thread. Might as well confront him with how evil he is and wrong they are.

    You think I should just let him spew lies and not defend them? Nope.

  35. Not yet Rin, be patient. Although I had to laugh at your credentials as a member of Greenpeace and a “world traveler.” Wasn’t it J. Warren who said about Hillary’s tenure as Sec, of State:

    “Flying thousands of mile and attending meetings is an activity, not an accomplishment.”

  36. As Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton spearheaded global action to fight climate change, building international partnerships to counter its threat. Sec. Clinton worked actively to protect the planet and its inhabitants by making climate change a priority in U.S. foreign policy and built partnerships to mobilize the international community to mitigate climate change and its adverse effects. Recognizing the clear and present danger of climate change, Sec. Clinton emphasized the need for American leadership in tackling this ever-growing global issue.

  37. Made Climate Change an American Foreign Policy Priority

    Sec. Clinton changed the way the U.S. approached climate change. According to the New York Times,“Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton wrapped up her first diplomatic mission to Asia yesterday with climate change experts praising her for putting global warming at the center of U.S. foreign policy… Kenneth Lieberthal, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and co-author of a new blueprint on how to bring China and the United States into cooperation on climate change, said he thinks Clinton sent a powerful signal that was ‘fundamentally different’ from the one sent by the Bush administration over the past eight years. He noted that Clinton chose [Special Envoy for Climate Change Todd] Stern as her travel companion — and not a Treasury Department official, a nonproliferation expert or an envoy on any number of other top-tier foreign policy issues. ‘Climate change is one of these existential threats that the …

  38. existential threats that the U.S. and other countries face, and we do not have the luxury of procrastinating anymore. I think that’s the message that Hillary Clinton brought to China,’ Lieberthal said. ‘She’s saying, “We have changed the U.S. approach to this in a huge way. We want you to know that, and we want you to know the door is wide open for serious communication,’” he said.” [New York Times, 2/23/09]

  39. Robert the troll said:

    Wasn’t it J. Warren who said about Hillary’s tenure as Sec, of State:

    “Flying thousands of mile and attending meetings is an activity, not an accomplishment.”

    Who is J. Warren, is that on your talking point notes? send it back to headquarters, they gave you an error.

    laughing my ass off at the caught with his papers out troll.

  40. There are about 50 pages of Hillary’s climate change accomplishments, then we can go to something else important, like healthcare, that republicans do nothing about.

    Sorry to give you information at a speed you cannot comprehend.

  41. BUSTED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I copied what you wrote, you snipped it but not my copy.

    who is j. warren? The author of the talking points.

    oh, goodnight troll, that was superb.

    i won. doing the happy dance.

  42. Robert the troll said:

    Rin: Relax, dude! Unless you are female, [Snipped as irrelevant]

    after he removed his wrong talking points with errors in it that made no sense to print.

    I love the smell of troll burning.

    Can you tell I have been around the block before? They are going to haunt me, my work is done.

  43. I don’t understand the “snipped as irrelevant” thing that just happened. I didn’t do that. At least not on purpose. Is this site edited?

    Anyway, yeah good catch on the quote. It wasn’t Warren, it was Fiorina. Made a mistake, and that will happen. I’m not perfect, but I think you are over-celebrating the event a tad. The quote still exists and I still think it fits. Perhaps you have not had a lot of successful moments in your life, so when you score a point it’s a big deal. I understand. Enjoy the champagne.

  44. Dumbass, “they do it themselves” means the grantor donates directly to the grantee, bypassing the foundation in many cases.

  45. Creating face to face relationships with other world leaders is a very important accomplishment when it comes to worldwide foreign relations. The Clintons’ are quite well liked globally.
    I believe it was Fiorina who tried to discredit Hillary which is just hilarious coming from a woman who managed a great company into the ground and has never been elected to anything. That Carly’s way of saying, “I have nothing to offer”.

  46. this is why the GOP and conservatives have tried so hard to derail Hillary Clinton. They are scared to death of this woman and they should be for good reason. she is head and shoulders above any current GOP candidate and is still outpolling the republican hopefuls by double digits- even in their home states which is humiliating. The day Hillary declared she was running was the day the GOP lost the 2016 Presidential Election. This is also why the rightwing anti-Hillary hysteria will continue and only increase. Truth be told, it does not matter who the democrat candidate is- the GOP and the conservatives will be crushed to dust in November of 2016. Time to end the rightwing bigotry, obstruction, sabotage, and treason.

  47. The Scissors have arrived. Argue sensibly, and they’ll pass you by. Spam with a bunch of quatsch, and it’s likely to happen again.

  48. Actually, I think the Foundation — instead of providing grants to recipient organizations — provides the funding directly to its own branch offices in the areas requiring its support. For instance, if the Foundation supports clean water projects in an African country, the monies are directed to staff in that area to carry out the projects.
    Most very large foundations donate to recipient organizations (e.g. the Red Cross, hospitals, universities etc.) and the aggregate amount of those donations is duly reported in their annual reports and their IRS filings. Those are where Charity Navigator gets its information. Fox’s reporter was accurate. Robert, you are simply wrong.

  49. Democrats are going to be in for a real rude awakening in 2016. Continue to live in your delusions until then.

  50. PPP survey
    I think pollsters are nearing a crisis point. Their credibility relies on their accuracy, but they get it wrong. Alot. There’s the Bradley effect, the Shy Tory factor, the weighting of samples and flawed methodologies. And then there’s people like me who just don’t like to help -lots of them actually- and who firmly believe that lying to pollsters is a civic duty.

    My usual response when I’m polled is to say, “Everything I am going to tell you will be a lie. Including this statement. Maybe”.
    Or I keep responding to the questions with “what do you want the answer to be?” I figure I win if I get them to hang up on me.
    But for extra fun I’ll try to keep them on the line for as long as possible. My personal best was a very sweet lady that stayed on the phone for about 30 minutes (while I brought up every random topic I could think of) before she said she would have to call back another time.
    We had a lovely chat.

  51. “What I didn’t expect was the vitriol and the name calling”.

    Robert, with all due respect, I must ask;
    Have YOU ever read the vitriol and name calling from people from Conservative sites?

    Just wonderin’.

  52. Moongal, Preach!

    Robert, until someone here threatens to rape your mother in front of you and tells you to suck on their AK so they can implement their “second amendment solution” while threatening to burn your home down around you and you’re family, shut it. You’ll find all of that and more on any right-leaning site.

  53. Yup! The same people also claim that forcing their religion on others is “religious freedom” and not jumping at any chance to get into war is being “soft” or “weak”.

  54. Ikihi, he’s right people are getting sick of Republican lies. But then again look at the presidential candidates for 2016 and look at the wonderful job they’re doing so far. But oh well keep living in a delusional world.

  55. Just another delusional republican named ikihi, Oh well I guess it isn’t worth mentioning that Fox is classified as satire or maybe how their viewers are the most misinformed. Oh well……..

  56. Actually, the problem is that he doesn’t think. Any Dem is guilty even if they are proven innocent.

    I’m really tired of you, Robert. Seen your kind too many times. You won’t budge no matter WHAT. Very tiring. Bye.

  57. Robert, good morning my burnt troll. How did you sleep last night? Did your conscience keep you up? Oh, you have none.

    I am so glad to see you took a “sour grapes” nasty swipe at me and showed what a sore loser RWNJ you are.

    How is your candidate, you quoted so accurately doing, you know the famous

    J. Warren

    from your troll notes?

    if you show your face we will all laugh.

    bye bye. Who is J. Warren? – LMFAO still.

  58. I didn’t know this site was edited. I thought he removed his remarks. It was right to remove them.

    He accidentally said J. Warren instead of Carly Fiorina because he cut and pasted what his troll notes said.

    So busted. He dare not show his face again.

    Start over troll. JimmyK, you too.

    Find new personas, we will root you out.

  59. There are now enough Californians and New Yorkers now living in Arizona to infuse some common sense int that state.

  60. Anybody the GOP nominate will spend a good time of the campaign running around trying to settle minor local issues in a lot of the iffy red states and not working on national issues

  61. According to Dr Dean on a program this past week, the Clinton Foundation has helped 485,000,000 people around the world. What have the rehugs done, except take away from those who need help. Just who have they ever helped, except them selves?

  62. Hey mods, I’d like to vote for the inclusion of an “ROFL” button between “I Agree” and “No Way”. because some comments don’t even deserve the dignity of a “No Way”… ;P

  63. The one time I ever ventured onto Red State, I immediately encountered a group of fun-loving “patriots” who were making hysterical “jokes” about murdering Katie Couric in a crab cage for daring to “humiliate” Sarah Palin by asking what newspapers she read…

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