A new poll of Wisconsin shows only Joe Biden out of the Democratic nomination contenders beating Trump in a potential general election matchup.
Here are the numbers:
Wisconsin poll: Marquette Law
Biden 47% | Trump 46%
Sanders 45% | Trump 47%
Warren 44% | Trump 45%
Buttigieg 43% | Trump 44%
Booker 43% | Trump 44%
(margin of error is +/- 4.2 points)
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) December 12, 2019
The race in the Wisconsin Democratic primary:
Marquette Law Wisconsin Dem WH poll
Don't Know 11%
— Steve Kornacki (@SteveKornacki) December 12, 2019
Democrats need to prepare themselves because incumbent presidents are difficult to beat. There is a reason why only two incumbent presidents in the last forty years have lost their elections for a second term. Trump is in a uniquely bad position, but his base doesn’t move. Trump will not be defeated easily.
Biden has a clear upper hand in general election matchups, and in the Democratic primary. If the nominee is going to be someone other than the former vice president, one of the other candidates will have to show a level of consistency and support that hasn’t been seen since the former vice president entered the race.
Some Democrats keep waiting for Biden’s support to collapse, but there is growing evidence that Biden’s supporters aren’t going anywhere.
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Mr. Easley is the founder/managing editor and Senior White House and Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA.Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association