Bernie Bounce: Support For Sanders With Democrats Grows By 10 Points In Iowa


The latest polling revealed that support for Bernie Sanders has increased by ten points among Democrats in Iowa after the Senator from Vermont officially announced his bid for the Democratic nomination.

According to the most recent Quinnipiac University poll of Iowa, Sen. Sanders has gone from 5% in February to 15% in May. The poll had Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 19% in February, but after she has repeatedly ruled out a run for the nomination, she was not included in the current round of polling.

Logically, it appears that Warren supporters should be a target for the Sanders campaign, but Hillary Clinton was the most popular first and second choice of Iowa Democratic caucus goers. When her first and second choice support was combined, Clinton received 79% support. The first and second favorite support for Sanders was 25%. (Note: percentages add up to more than one hundred.) Clinton’s 2016 is looking like a reversal of her 2008 Iowa caucus experience while Sanders is in a position to be a legitimate second.

Hillary Clinton had a jaw-dropping 83% approval rating with Iowa Democrats. The former Sec. of State’s approval rating with very liberal Democrats was 88%. Sen. Sanders is largely unknown in Iowa. His favorability split was 44%-6%, but 50% of those polled did not know enough about him. Sanders had a favorability rating of 68% among those who considered themselves to be very liberal.

What this polling illustrates is that Hillary Clinton is a historically strong candidate. Not since Dwight D. Eisenhower has a non-incumbent presidential candidate had this much support for his/her campaign. The data also hints that there may be room for only one more legitimate Democratic candidate in the race. At this very early stage, it looks like that candidate will be Sen. Bernie Sanders.

One issue with the Quinnipiac Poll is that Vice President Biden was included in the polling. The numbers will shift after Biden is dropped from the poll. It is safe to assume that some if not most of the Biden support will shift to Hillary Clinton, but there will be an opening there for Sanders to pick up some additional support.

Bernie Sanders has gotten a bigger bounce from announcing his campaign than many expected. Sanders is not a fringe candidate. He will likely be the top challenger to Hillary Clinton in the Democratic field, as the Democratic primary looks like it will feature two strong voices debating the issues in 2016.

30 Replies to “Bernie Bounce: Support For Sanders With Democrats Grows By 10 Points In Iowa”

  1. Much better than the last one Jason. I approve of the above. It contains facts.

    And as I said all along, I look forward to the debates, to the campaigns when they begin fully, to the joint attacks against the GOP, and to the best man for the eventual candidate being a woman.

    And as I said all along – if anything happens to my #1 choice, I would vote for Bernie.

  2. That’s all well and good but Sec. Clinton will not let Sen. Sanders out maneuver her for delegates like President Obama did in 08.

  3. Hillary Clinton is the best choice, though I can appreciate what Bernie Sanders brings to the table. It’s Hillary’s time and I will support her.

  4. I gauge his desirability upon the reactions of the Republicans.

    The more republicans decry him, the more I like.

    But so far, republican reactions to Hillary are head and shoulders above Sanders. Thus I’m far more desirous of seeing her President.

  5. Bernie knows what he’s doing. This is the best platform to get the word out, many will hear Bernie’s message. I just hope we can get the vote out this next election, and in all future midterm elections. The thought of Republicans in power is just too disturbing.

  6. Yes! I feel the same way about Ted Cruz. The more the Democrats scream about him, the more interested I am in his positions. When liberals protest that much, he must be saying something worth hearing.

  7. Comparing Obamacare to the Nazis: “Look, we saw in Britain, Neville Chamberlain, who told the British people, ‘Accept the Nazis. Yes, they’ll dominate the continent of Europe but that’s not our problem. Let’s appease them. Why? Because it can’t be done. We can’t possibly stand against them.’”

    “I will credit my father, he invented … green eggs and ham. He did it two ways. The easy way was he would put green food coloring in … But if you take spinach and mix it into the eggs, the eggs turn green … I do not like green eggs and ham. I do not like them, Sam I am.”

    The authorizing committees are free to set their agency budgets, and that includes NASA.” – Ted Cruz when he tried to cut NASA funding in 2013 (This one is more scary than stupid, since Cruz is now in charge of agency budgets.)

    ‘Net Neutrality’ is Obamacare for the Internet; the Internet should not operate at the speed of government.” – Ted Cruz on net neutrality

    Enough of these little kitty cats we keep sending to Washington. David Dewhurst will compromise every day in the U.S. Senate… It’s what he’s done every day in state government.

    I would do anything and I will continue to do anything I can to stop the train wreck that is Obamacare.

    Christians are being systematically exterminated.

    The strength of our economy allows us to maintain the mightiest military in the world, effectively enforcing a Pax Americana.

  8. Yep. And as reprehensible as those Rafael Cruz statements are, they make total sense to people with low (or no) IQ’s like “Robert”.

    I told my son a couple of days ago…there are more loons walking freely about than there are locked up, and Robert and Rafael Cruz are living proof of that statement.

  9. I’m torn between supporting Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton. That’s why I’ve decided to gauge the viability of either by the threat they pose to the GOP and their RW-ilk, just as many Americans should’ve done in 2000.

    Nader was left alone while they went after Gore full-force. Democrats and Liberals alike should’ve seen that as the writing on the wall. Gore, not Nader, was considered a viable threat to G.W. Bush according to their internal polling in 2000 and we should have rallied around him, not Nader.

    So far, they view Hillary Clinton as a true threat since she’s being attacked from all sides, thus she has my support. For now.

  10. It seems that the professional left or EMOS as I like to call them is trying to make this into I am more of a progressive than you battle.

    I think that’s a big mistake because no matter who gets the nomination unless we elect more progressives down ticket then it wont make a differences.

    The way I see it Sen. Sanders don’t have the coattails to do that. Sec. Clinton does because when people vote they vote straight ticket and just think how many sane republican women will vote for her given the alternative.

  11. That’s a reasonable approach. Two points- Unlike Nader, Sanders isn’t running as an independent no matter what, so the nature of the threat is different. Also, while I suspect most of the accusations being leveled at Hillary are false or at worst identical in kind to the rest of the lobbying grime that goes on in DC, she’s frankly an easier target and they don’t appear to have much “dirt” on Sanders so far. (Although Fox can turn any molehill into a mountain so that may not last.) The ideal angle of attack for them would be to argue that as a socialist he’s an economic extremist, but I don’t think it’s strategically wise for them to go there in force and they know it. “Corruption” is a bipartisan attack issue, but “income inequality” will be very awkward for Republicans to use without it backfiring on them.

  12. I suggest they all go to Democratic Socialist meetings. Go see what DSA is about and read Karl Marx and research it. If they like Cornel West then they will like it all. I checked it out many years ago and after a few meetings I ran out of the place like my hair was on fire and never thought of going back. I still see booths for them at fairs and such and when they try to hand me literature I just grin.

    I am liberal, but not a socialist. Not for me. Bernie is a good guy, he has some great ideas. But, well, I encourage everyone who wants to support him and donate to him to go check it out. Quite the experience and an eye opener.

  13. Very Simple and to the point…..!!!!!!!!!!!!!!….GO HILLARY…!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  14. I don’t remember the exact year, maybe midterm election 2006. I stopped in my tracks when I hear a speech and after said this will be our first black president, he is. When the Clintons left Washington just before Hillary jumped into politics I noticed her emerge & vocalize. I said that’s our first woman president. Today,&I do blame Republican tea party, it’s just one side pitted against the other and the reasons these people are in office is overlooked without our interests. Its power to control, still driven by Republican party. Bernie is the difference needed to stop the stigma of the them vs. us 2 party system. What is most important with Bernie is his voice and message. He has never waivered from his views/agenda. Easy to look up.He is aware he might not win but what he says cannot nor will he allow ignored. He will force answers. If not, people will question why. That’s why he didn’t run independent,can’t afford split votes. I joined his campaign because he lives to make ou…

  15. We as Democrats need to stand up for what we believe. Bernie is a much better candidate than Hillary. Don’t shrink in the face that she’s the inevitable candidate. Vote for the best candidate. If she wins I’ll vote for her over any Republican candidate. Until then, she has to beat the best Democratic candidate and that’s Bernie Sanders!

  16. Having a vagina or a penis is arguably not the best way to pick a President.
    Hillary C. has shown her colors via supporting Homeland Security, wars of aggression, etc. She is also unarguably in the pocket of Wall Street. Having a Clinton or Bush in office would be absolutely absurd in terms of preserving even an illusion of a Republic.
    Bernie Sanders has a long track record. He speaks his mind and doesn’t change his mind because it’s unpopular. He has the kind of guts that comes from telling the truth. I’ve never seen a candidate more exciting. I will happily support his run for office. Plus, I like rooting for the underdog. Go Bernie!

  17. Why is she the best choice? She votes with the financial elite, she voted for the Patriot Act, Iraq, and she is the most evasive campaigner ever! Can we please get a straight answer on TPP before the vote! It was partially negotiated under her, so she must know much of what’s in it. She is just too cowardly to tell primary voters “Yea, I want to sell you out just like Obama is doing. Anyway… vote for me!!!” It’s total bullshit that Sanders is such a long shot when he is clearly the more honest and consistent of the two. “It’s her time” what the hell does that mean?

  18. Vote for Sanders. They only attack Hillary because they assume she will be the nominee. Sanders has been a consistent voice against TPP, Patriot Act, Iraq War, financial deregulation, etc… She is bought and paid for by Wall Street just like her husband.

  19. Lies from the right wing conspiracy again.

    Twist history as always and lie, lie, smear.

    Her votes are 11th most liberal in the HISTORY of the WHOLE Senate. FACT.

    AUMF – 89 Reps and 29 Senators on the dem side voted for it. Including several liberal dems like Hillary. Bush lied, people died.


  20. Juan, on TPP. Sanders, Obama, Warren and all Congress have access to it and can’t discuss the details at all and can’t even take notes while viewing it.

    Hillary is not privy to the deal. She was years ago and at that time was for it with caveats. She is waiting like us, for the details.

    Have you seen it Juan? What are the environmental rules? Currency rules? Job creating ideas for America involved?

    Please tell us what is in the ACTUAL TPP that you do not like.

    When we read it, we will have lots to say.

  21. Bernie’s the best choice. As I see it; McCain was the true ‘change candidate’ in ’08; as he was a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to modernize the Republican party-move them more towards the center and away from their far-right leaning death-spiral-into-the sun. I come from New Zealand-we have a right wing government; who appear positively liberal next to the entire GOP field.
    Now, Bernie-HE is the true ‘change candidate’ this time ’round and because he’s not a peacenik [absolutely critical]; he has a real chance of snaring some Republican votes, too. The left love him-Hillary’s only in the lead; ’cause people don’t know enough about him yet. Any independent who votes Republican and even some libertarian Republicans; I can also see being swayed by him. It’s also telling that FoX news is completely ignoring him. I mean, what Bernie stands for; is a conversation they desperately don’t want to have-because attacking him on e.g.,income inequality could really backfire.

  22. She’s really not the best choice, just the highest chance to win, please don’t confuse the two.

  23. Hear Hear!

    Dismissals of Sen. Sanders becoming President Sanders fully make the Corporate Machine smile, as Hillary has LONG Proven she is behooved to submit to continued compliance to the Citizens United Gang

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